Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.7%Central Arkansas

35.3%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -183

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 78

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 74

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricLittle Rock

54MMH Power Index44

113.9Offensive Efficiency103.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency108.2

8.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-3.9Strength of Schedule0.5

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

71.0Tempo68.5

54.3%Effective FG%50.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

6.1Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–44.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (105.2–108.2), net efficiency (8.7–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Central Arkansas

57—63

Little Rock

Little Rock by 6 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATLittle Rock

19-61FG23-58

31.0%FG%40.0%

6-263PT9-29

23.0%3PT%31.0%

13-18FT8-10

72.0%FT%80.0%

37Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists14

16Turnovers21

10Steals14

4Blocks12

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	35	5-16	3-11	0-1	5	4	3	0	13
Elias Cato	Forward	26	4-12	0-4	5-5	5	0	1	0	13
Nehemiah Turner	F	23	3-9	0-0	6-8	9	2	2	3	12
Cole McCormick	F	17	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	11
Brayden Fagbemi	G	36	1-8	0-4	2-2	7	6	0	0	4
Mike Evbagharu	G	32	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	3	0	2
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	6	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ben Fox	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Diogo Seixas	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	40	6-10	6-9	0-0	4	6	2	2	18
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	33	6-18	3-11	0-0	9	2	2	2	15
Ante Beljan	F	34	5-10	0-0	4-6	7	1	4	1	14
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	29	4-5	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	5	8
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	10	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	4
Isaiah Lewis	G	37	0-10	0-8	2-2	5	2	3	0	2
Christian Hughes	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Travonne Jackson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

77.3Offensive Efficiency85.5

85.5Defensive Efficiency77.3

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

36.1%Effective FG%47.4%

41.0%True Shooting %50.2%

21.8%Turnover Rate28.5%

29.5%Free Throw Rate17.2%

42.6%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.