Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.4%Montana State

37.6%Omaha

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -166

Omaha

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total153.1

Projected ScoreOmaha 75

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricOmaha

53.6MMH Power Index44.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency110.2

104.9Defensive Efficiency110.8

9.5Net Efficiency-0.6

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.5

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.5

68.1Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%53.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.0%

6.5Average Margin-0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.5), offensive efficiency (114.4–110.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–110.8), net efficiency (9.5–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.5–-3.7), free throw rate (34.0–30.7).

Final

Montana State

76—65

Omaha

Montana State by 11 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATOmaha

27-50FG24-54

54.0%FG%44.0%

9-213PT2-19

43.0%3PT%11.0%

13-16FT15-20

81.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds29

3Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists9

9Turnovers10

9Steals4

—Blocks2

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	26	7-11	0-1	3-5	1	4	0	17
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	33	5-9	3-6	0-0	7	2	4	13
Patrick McMahon	G	27	3-4	1-2	4-5	3	2	1	11
Jed Miller	G	17	3-5	2-4	2-2	1	3	1	10
Jabe Mullins	Guard	31	2-5	1-3	4-4	4	3	2	9
Brian Goracke	Forward	16	3-6	2-3	0-0	4	0	1	8
BJ Kolly	F	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	6
Tyler Patterson	Guard	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Sam Lecholat	Forward	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0
Bryce Zephir	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Chika Nduka	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marquel Sutton	F	35	7-11	0-3	8-10	7	1	1	0	22
Tony Osburn	G	35	5-11	0-5	2-3	2	1	1	0	12
Isaac Ondekane	C	16	5-5	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	11
Khamani Cooper	G	17	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Lance Waddles	G	25	1-6	0-3	2-4	2	1	0	0	4
JJ White	G	9	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Kamryn Thomas	F	17	0-2	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	1	2
Joshua Streit	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Pablo Soumare	Center	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ja'Sean Glover	G	20	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	4	0	1	0
Grant Stubblefield	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

117.6Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency117.6

17.0Net Efficiency-17.0

63.0%Effective FG%46.3%

66.0%True Shooting %51.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

42.0%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.89Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Montana State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.