Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.2%Idaho State

56.8%South Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota -131

South Dakota

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total158.6

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 81

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSouth Dakota

45.9MMH Power Index43.8

111.0Offensive Efficiency110.0

113.4Defensive Efficiency110.8

-2.4Net Efficiency-0.8

0.2Strength of Schedule-4.9

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

67.1Tempo72.4

52.2%Effective FG%50.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate46.2%

-1.6Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (110.8–113.4), net efficiency (-0.8–-2.4), recent form (-1.0–-9.6), ball security (16.3–16.5).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.9–43.8), offensive efficiency (111.0–110.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-4.9).

Final

Idaho State

80—94

South Dakota

South Dakota by 14 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSouth Dakota

27-64FG29-57

42.0%FG%51.0%

13-313PT11-21

42.0%3PT%52.0%

13-23FT25-32

57.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds35

20Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists17

12Turnovers9

4Steals8

6Blocks5

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Burgin	Guard	23	8-13	6-10	3-3	2	1	0	0	25
Dylan Darling	G	25	6-12	2-3	2-5	2	3	3	0	16
Jake O'Neil	Guard	33	5-12	2-5	0-0	9	2	0	0	12
Connor Hollenbeck	F	31	4-7	2-4	2-4	5	1	1	1	12
Isaiah Griffin	F	19	3-7	0-2	3-7	2	0	0	0	9
Quentin Meza	G	15	1-7	1-5	0-0	0	4	0	0	3
Jackson Greene	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Evan Otten	F	32	0-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	5	1
Blake Daberkow	F	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

South Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Forte	G	31	6-12	1-3	8-9	5	7	5	1	21
Isaac Bruns	G	18	7-12	2-5	2-3	3	0	0	0	18
Paul Bruns	Guard	27	4-8	4-6	2-2	3	0	1	1	14
Cameron Fens	C	24	4-8	0-0	3-5	5	1	0	2	11
Kaleb Stewart	Guard	21	3-5	2-4	2-2	0	1	0	0	10
Dre Bullock	G	18	2-5	2-3	2-2	1	3	2	0	8
Max Burchill	Guard	26	1-2	0-0	2-3	3	3	0	0	4
Ashton Smith	F	16	1-3	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	4
Shey Eberwein	G	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Jake Brack	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

119.2Offensive Efficiency140.1

140.1Defensive Efficiency119.2

-20.9Net Efficiency20.9

52.3%Effective FG%60.5%

53.4%True Shooting %65.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate13.4%

35.9%Free Throw Rate56.1%

48.4%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

South Dakota won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.