Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.8%Michigan State

16.2%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -517

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreMinnesota 66

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMinnesota

69.8MMH Power Index50.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency109.1

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.7

15.5Net Efficiency1.4

7.2Strength of Schedule3.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

67.3Tempo63.6

54.1%Effective FG%54.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

10.5Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–50.5), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.7), net efficiency (15.5–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHball security (16.5–17.2), free throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

90—72

Minnesota

Michigan State by 18 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMinnesota

29-55FG26-59

53.0%FG%44.0%

11-223PT9-28

50.0%3PT%32.0%

21-26FT11-17

81.0%FT%65.0%

39Rebounds27

12Offensive Rebounds10

25Assists15

9Turnovers7

5Steals5

5Blocks4

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	16	5-8	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	1	12
Jaxon Kohler	F	26	3-4	1-1	4-4	11	2	1	1	11
Xavier Booker	F	19	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	2	11
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	20	2-3	1-1	5-5	2	5	0	0	10
Jaden Akins	Guard	22	3-7	2-5	1-2	2	2	0	0	9
Szymon Zapala	Center	15	3-5	0-0	3-4	5	1	0	0	9
Tre Holloman	G	25	2-7	2-5	2-2	2	8	1	0	8
Frankie Fidler	Forward	16	2-5	1-2	2-3	1	3	1	0	7
Gehrig Normand	G	2	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Jase Richardson	Guard	20	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	4
Carson Cooper	C	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Kur Teng	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	39	5-14	1-8	7-7	11	2	1	0	18
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	23	6-12	5-9	0-0	0	2	1	0	17
Lu'Cye Patterson	Guard	26	3-9	2-5	4-4	2	4	0	0	12
Frank Mitchell	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-3	3	1	0	1	6
Femi Odukale	Guard	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	6
Parker Fox	Forward	14	3-5	0-0	0-3	1	1	0	0	6
Isaac Asuma	G	31	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	1	5
Trey Edmonds	Center	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	22	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

140.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency140.0

28.0Net Efficiency-28.0

62.7%Effective FG%51.7%

66.8%True Shooting %53.7%

14.0%Turnover Rate10.9%

47.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

40.0%3-Point Rate47.5%

2.78Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.