Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%Abilene Christian

81.6%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -443

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 68

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 78

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricNew Mexico State

42.4MMH Power Index51.2

101.1Offensive Efficiency108.9

104.1Defensive Efficiency104.5

-3.0Net Efficiency4.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-0.7

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

69.6Tempo68.9

48.9%Effective FG%48.6%

20.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-2.1Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–42.4), offensive efficiency (108.9–101.1), net efficiency (4.4–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.7–-1.4).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.1–104.5), shooting efficiency (48.9–48.6), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

Abilene Christian

78—70

New Mexico State

Abilene Christian by 8 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATNew Mexico State

23-45FG22-50

51.0%FG%44.0%

7-163PT7-21

44.0%3PT%33.0%

25-35FT19-29

71.0%FT%66.0%

29Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists9

11Turnovers12

9Steals4

1Blocks2

24Fouls27

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	30	6-10	5-8	7-7	3	2	2	0	24
Quion Williams	G	31	6-8	1-2	7-11	8	3	0	0	20
Leonardo Bettiol	F	26	5-9	0-1	6-8	4	0	1	0	16
Bradyn Hubbard	F	22	1-4	0-1	2-3	2	0	1	0	4
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	20	1-3	0-0	2-3	0	1	1	0	4
Dontrez Williams	G	9	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Rich Smith	G	18	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	3	0	0	3
Yaniel Rivera	G	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Joseph Venzant	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-1	5	0	2	0	0
Cade Hornecker	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Carpenter	Forward	28	5-12	2-7	1-1	5	2	1	0	13
Zawdie Jackson	G	30	4-7	1-2	3-5	3	2	0	0	12
Christian Cook	Guard	29	2-7	2-4	4-6	1	1	0	0	10
Peter Filipovity	Forward	23	2-4	0-0	6-7	3	2	0	0	10
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	18	5-7	0-0	0-3	4	0	1	1	10
Jaden Harris	G	13	3-7	2-5	1-1	1	0	0	0	9
Dionte Bostick	Guard	27	1-5	0-3	2-4	3	0	1	0	4
Gabe Pickens	G	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
Carl Cherenfant	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ed Nnamoko	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

117.8Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency117.8

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

58.9%Effective FG%51.0%

63.3%True Shooting %54.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.7%

77.8%Free Throw Rate58.0%

35.6%3-Point Rate42.0%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.