Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%Sacramento State

76.7%Denver

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDenver -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDenver -329

Denver

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreDenver 88

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricDenver

43MMH Power Index49.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency119.2

112.0Defensive Efficiency119.2

-5.9Net Efficiency0.0

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.6

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.0

73.2Tempo69.5

48.5%Effective FG%55.3%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.2%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-4.3Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Denver HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDenver holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–43.0), offensive efficiency (119.2–106.1), net efficiency (0.0–-5.9), recent form (4.0–-7.8).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.0–119.2), strength of schedule (0.9–-2.6), free throw rate (41.8–35.3).

Final

Sacramento State

59—80

Denver

Denver by 21 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATDenver

21-53FG28-55

40.0%FG%51.0%

4-193PT14-34

21.0%3PT%41.0%

13-19FT10-13

68.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists18

9Turnovers10

4Steals6

—Blocks1

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	31	9-14	0-2	6-8	9	0	0	24
EJ Neal Jr.	G	28	4-9	2-6	2-5	5	1	0	12
Emil Skytta	G	28	3-8	0-1	3-4	3	2	1	9
Deonte Williams	Guard	16	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	6
Bailey Nunn	G	37	1-8	1-5	2-2	3	2	2	5
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	3
Julian Vaughns	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0
Chudi Dioramma	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jalen Pitre	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Bowyn Beatty	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Akins	G	29	8-12	4-7	2-2	4	6	1	1	22
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	23	7-10	3-4	1-1	2	3	1	0	18
Nick Shogbonyo	G	32	1-5	1-5	6-6	2	3	1	0	9
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	29	3-10	3-8	0-0	4	2	0	0	9
Jon Mani	G	15	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Josh Lee	G	27	3-5	0-1	1-3	5	1	2	0	7
Josh Pickett	G	21	2-5	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	5
Pedro Lopez-Sanvicente	Forward	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Benjamin Bowen	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-1	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

93.5Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency93.5

-33.3Net Efficiency33.3

43.4%Effective FG%63.6%

47.6%True Shooting %65.4%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

35.8%Free Throw Rate23.6%

35.8%3-Point Rate61.8%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Denver won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.