North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%North Dakota State

38.4%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -160

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 80

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreWeber State 78

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricWeber State

59MMH Power Index50.2

115.4Offensive Efficiency113.6

100.8Defensive Efficiency108.2

14.6Net Efficiency5.4

-4.6Strength of Schedule-3.4

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.6Tempo71.5

54.5%Effective FG%52.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

31.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

10.1Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–50.2), offensive efficiency (115.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (100.8–108.2), net efficiency (14.6–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.6), offensive rebounding (32.6–32.0), free throw rate (38.3–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

77—73

Weber State

North Dakota State by 4 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATWeber State

25-57FG27-61

44.0%FG%44.0%

15-343PT9-25

44.0%3PT%36.0%

12-16FT10-14

75.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists12

8Turnovers3

1Steals3

1Blocks2

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacksen Moni	Forward	28	8-12	4-5	2-2	2	3	0	0	22
Jacari White	G	36	5-11	3-8	7-10	9	4	0	1	20
Tajavis Miller	G	22	4-9	3-6	2-2	4	0	0	0	13
Noah Feddersen	F	30	4-8	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Brennan Watkins	G	17	3-5	3-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	9
Masen Miller	Guard	25	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Luke Kasubke	Guard	15	0-3	0-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	1
Darik Dissette	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Andy Stefonowicz	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Treyson Anderson	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Viljami Vartiainen	G	23	5-8	4-7	4-4	3	0	0	0	18
Alex Tew	Center	23	5-8	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	12
Blaise Threatt	Guard	29	4-15	0-2	2-2	5	6	1	0	10
Nigel Burris	F	28	3-5	2-4	1-1	6	0	1	1	9
Dyson Koehler	Forward	31	3-7	2-6	0-0	5	2	1	0	8
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	15	4-7	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	8
Miguel Tomley	Guard	27	3-10	1-6	0-0	4	3	0	0	7
Trevor Hennig	G	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	1
Saadiq Moore	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Marko Sarenac	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

124.8Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency124.8

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

57.0%Effective FG%51.6%

59.6%True Shooting %54.0%

12.8%Turnover Rate4.9%

28.1%Free Throw Rate23.0%

59.6%3-Point Rate41.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.