Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%Alabama State

86.2%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -625

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 82

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricSouthern Miss

38MMH Power Index49.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency106.1

107.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.7Net Efficiency1.2

-6.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

71.9Tempo70.4

48.2%Effective FG%49.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

-4.1Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–38.0), offensive efficiency (106.1–101.7), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.4), net efficiency (1.2–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHball security (18.2–18.4), offensive rebounding (32.6–32.3).

Final

Alabama State

64—81

Southern Miss

Southern Miss by 17 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATSouthern Miss

23-71FG30-60

32.0%FG%50.0%

9-293PT9-25

31.0%3PT%36.0%

9-12FT12-17

75.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds48

9Offensive Rebounds8

4Assists18

7Turnovers13

6Steals6

3Blocks7

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	31	6-19	4-10	2-4	5	0	0	0	18
Amarr Knox	G	30	4-11	1-3	2-2	1	3	2	0	11
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	19	5-6	0-0	1-2	0	0	3	0	11
Micah Simpson	G	20	3-11	1-5	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Jalen Keago	G	22	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
JaSteven Walker	F	25	1-7	0-2	2-2	9	0	0	0	4
Tyler Mack	G	20	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Ubong Okon	C	21	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	2
D'Ante Bass	Forward	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Mario Andrews	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	28	6-10	6-9	3-4	4	1	1	1	21
Denijay Harris	Forward	38	8-14	0-2	4-5	20	4	1	1	20
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	31	4-6	2-2	3-4	6	3	2	0	13
Christian Watson	G	34	5-13	0-5	2-4	8	4	1	0	12
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	30	5-10	0-3	0-0	6	3	1	3	10
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Christian Reid	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2	2
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jose Benitez	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Jett Montgomery	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brewer Carruth	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lieb Yat	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

86.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency86.6

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

38.7%Effective FG%57.5%

41.7%True Shooting %59.5%

9.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

16.9%Free Throw Rate28.3%

40.8%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Southern Miss won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.