Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Northwestern State

70.6%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -240

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 74

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricIncarnate Word

41.3MMH Power Index44.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

-5.0Net Efficiency0.8

-1.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

63.6Tempo66.3

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–104.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.2), strength of schedule (-1.6–-3.6), recent form (-4.9–-8.5).

Final

Northwestern State

72—70

Incarnate Word

Northwestern State by 2 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATIncarnate Word

25-53FG25-52

47.0%FG%48.0%

7-153PT11-24

47.0%3PT%46.0%

15-18FT9-11

83.0%FT%82.0%

26Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists13

7Turnovers14

9Steals5

5Blocks5

10Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	15	4-7	1-4	6-7	0	0	1	0	15
Landyn Jumawan	G	29	5-6	4-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	14
Jon Sanders II	G	27	4-9	2-3	2-2	1	6	1	0	12
Love Bettis	G	25	5-9	0-3	1-2	2	3	1	0	11
Jerald Colonel	F	28	2-4	0-0	3-3	6	3	1	4	7
JT Warren	Forward	20	2-7	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Willie Williams	F	27	2-4	0-0	1-2	8	0	2	1	5
Addison Patterson	F	19	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	0	2
Lado Laku	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Mubiru	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Bailey	G	38	7-16	6-13	2-2	7	2	1	1	22
Dylan Hayman	Forward	34	8-11	3-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	19
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	38	4-10	1-4	2-2	4	8	0	0	11
Jordan Pyke	F	32	3-5	1-1	2-4	4	3	0	0	9
Shon Robinson	Forward	16	1-3	0-1	3-3	1	0	0	3	5
Jayden Williams	C	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	4	1	2
Josh Akpovwa	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Lamin Sabally	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kobi Bowles	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Van Eyck	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

116.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency116.3

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

53.8%Effective FG%58.7%

58.5%True Shooting %61.2%

11.4%Turnover Rate22.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate21.2%

28.3%3-Point Rate46.2%

2.29Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.