Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Drake

71.1%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -246

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 71

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreValparaiso 77

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricValparaiso

46.4MMH Power Index49.9

109.5Offensive Efficiency106.6

109.1Defensive Efficiency105.8

0.4Net Efficiency0.8

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.6Tempo67.5

52.2%Effective FG%48.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

34.4%Free Throw Rate40.0%

0.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–46.4), defensive efficiency (105.8–109.1), net efficiency (0.8–0.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–106.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.7), ball security (14.9–15.6).

Final

Drake

66—60

Valparaiso

Drake by 6 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATValparaiso

23-42FG19-46

55.0%FG%41.0%

4-143PT10-27

29.0%3PT%37.0%

16-26FT12-18

62.0%FT%67.0%

31Rebounds21

6Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists9

13Turnovers10

8Steals5

—Blocks—

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	9-15	3-6	8-11	5	4	1	29
Tavion Banks	G	21	4-6	0-2	4-6	4	1	1	12
Daniel Abreu	Forward	38	2-5	1-3	3-3	1	0	0	8
Cam Manyawu	F	22	4-4	0-0	0-2	10	0	1	8
Nate Ferguson	Forward	18	2-3	0-0	0-1	0	0	3	4
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	14	1-4	0-2	1-2	1	1	1	3
Mitch Mascari	Guard	40	1-4	0-1	0-1	5	2	0	2
Isaia Howard	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyler Schmidt	G	23	7-9	3-5	3-4	0	0	0	20
Isaiah Shaw	G	28	5-7	3-4	2-3	1	1	1	15
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	30	2-8	2-7	3-6	2	1	0	9
All Wright	G	32	3-8	2-6	0-1	1	3	1	8
Devon Ellis	F	10	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	4
Kaspar Sepp	F	19	0-0	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	2
Justus McNair	G	14	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	2
Cooper Schwieger	F	25	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

108.2Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

59.5%Effective FG%52.2%

60.7%True Shooting %55.0%

21.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

61.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate58.7%

0.62Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Drake won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.