Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%Jackson State

97.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -24.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -3348

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 68

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreArkansas State 93

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricArkansas State

30.7MMH Power Index57.7

98.1Offensive Efficiency113.1

117.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

-18.9Net Efficiency7.8

-0.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

71.6Tempo73.3

45.8%Effective FG%52.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate19.4%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-13.5Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.7), offensive efficiency (113.1–98.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.0), net efficiency (7.8–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-1.0).

Final

Jackson State

64—66

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 2 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATArkansas State

21-55FG21-63

38.0%FG%33.0%

7-203PT10-30

35.0%3PT%33.0%

15-24FT14-20

63.0%FT%70.0%

41Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists14

14Turnovers15

12Steals12

5Blocks2

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shannon Grant	Center	31	6-10	0-0	4-7	10	1	0	2	16
Juan Reyna	G	22	3-8	3-7	3-4	0	0	1	0	12
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	30	3-11	2-7	2-2	4	0	3	2	10
Daeshun Ruffin	G	28	3-10	0-1	2-2	1	2	1	0	8
Dorian McMillian	G	15	2-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Romelle Mansel	Forward	36	2-5	0-0	1-5	17	2	3	0	5
Keiveon Hunt	G	24	2-7	0-2	1-2	2	4	3	0	5
Tamarion Hoover	G	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Ebo Wilson	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Taryn Todd	Guard	33	5-18	1-5	4-6	3	3	1	0	15
Izaiyah Nelson	F	24	4-6	0-0	6-7	9	1	3	1	14
Avery Felts	Guard	32	3-9	3-9	2-3	5	2	5	0	11
Kobe Julien	Forward	28	2-7	2-5	0-0	9	0	1	0	6
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	20	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	13	1-3	1-2	1-2	3	1	1	0	4
Rashaud Marshall	F	18	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Cody Head	G	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Derrian Ford	G	6	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Joseph Pinion	G	12	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Kameron Johnson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Johnson	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

87.1Offensive Efficiency89.8

89.8Defensive Efficiency87.1

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

44.5%Effective FG%41.3%

48.2%True Shooting %45.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate20.1%

43.6%Free Throw Rate31.7%

36.4%3-Point Rate47.6%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.