Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Xavier

83.8%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -517

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 73

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreTCU 85

Team Comparison

XavierMetricTCU

49.5MMH Power Index59.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency110.2

112.4Defensive Efficiency102.7

-3.2Net Efficiency7.5

5.6Strength of Schedule4.6

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

71.7Tempo70.2

51.7%Effective FG%50.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

28.9%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-2.3Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–49.5), offensive efficiency (110.2–109.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–112.4), net efficiency (7.5–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.6), shooting efficiency (51.7–50.5), ball security (13.9–15.3).

Final

Xavier

72—76

TCU

TCU by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATTCU

28-58FG28-60

48.0%FG%47.0%

9-283PT6-18

32.0%3PT%33.0%

7-9FT14-18

78.0%FT%78.0%

31Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists15

15Turnovers8

3Steals13

2Blocks1

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	34	6-18	4-13	1-1	5	6	1	1	17
Zach Freemantle	Forward	35	8-13	0-4	0-0	6	1	0	1	16
Dailyn Swain	G	23	5-5	1-1	1-2	4	2	0	0	12
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	31	4-10	0-2	1-1	1	5	1	0	9
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	20	3-4	3-4	0-0	6	2	1	0	9
Jerome Hunter	Forward	18	1-3	0-1	2-3	0	2	0	0	4
John Hugley IV	F	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Trey Green	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Marcus Foster	Guard	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frankie Collins	G	33	7-13	0-2	2-4	7	5	1	0	16
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	27	5-7	3-5	2-3	2	3	1	0	15
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	34	5-8	0-0	3-4	6	3	3	0	13
Trazarien White	Forward	37	3-10	1-5	3-3	4	1	4	0	10
Micah Robinson	F	13	3-6	2-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Vasean Allette	PG	30	3-12	0-2	2-2	4	3	4	0	8
David Punch	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Jace Posey	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Malick Diallo	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Manning	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

107.6Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency107.6

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

56.0%Effective FG%51.7%

57.8%True Shooting %55.4%

22.3%Turnover Rate12.0%

15.5%Free Throw Rate30.0%

48.3%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

TCU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.