Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Saint Louis

20.7%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -383

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 73

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricSan Francisco

66.7MMH Power Index50.1

120.8Offensive Efficiency110.4

97.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

23.2Net Efficiency2.2

0.3Strength of Schedule1.4

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

72.2Tempo67.6

59.9%Effective FG%51.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate40.5%

16.8Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–50.1), offensive efficiency (120.8–110.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–108.2), net efficiency (23.2–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.4–0.3), ball security (16.1–17.1), offensive rebounding (31.8–31.6).

Final

Saint Louis

61—78

San Francisco

San Francisco by 17 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATSan Francisco

26-58FG30-59

45.0%FG%51.0%

4-243PT11-24

17.0%3PT%46.0%

5-9FT7-11

56.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists15

17Turnovers15

8Steals9

1Blocks3

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	39	6-13	2-8	2-2	3	0	1	0	16
Robbie Avila	C	35	6-15	1-6	0-0	4	5	1	0	13
Amari McCottry	G	21	3-5	1-2	2-3	3	1	2	0	9
Isaiah Swope	Guard	31	4-10	0-4	0-1	1	4	0	0	8
Kellen Thames	G	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	0	6
Kalu Anya	F	32	2-5	0-1	1-3	7	0	2	1	5
Kobe Johnson	Guard	26	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Kilian Brockhoff	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	30	9-14	3-4	1-2	6	0	1	0	22
Marcus Williams	Guard	34	5-11	3-5	2-3	3	5	2	0	15
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	28	6-14	3-10	0-0	2	1	0	1	15
Junjie Wang	F	20	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Ryan Beasley	G	22	3-5	1-2	0-0	5	4	1	0	7
Tyrone Riley IV	G	21	2-6	0-1	1-2	8	1	4	1	5
Robby Beasley	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jason Rivera-Torres	F	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Ndewedo Newbury	F	21	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	0	1
James O'Donnell	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

87.4Offensive Efficiency111.7

111.7Defensive Efficiency87.4

-24.4Net Efficiency24.4

48.3%Effective FG%60.2%

49.0%True Shooting %60.7%

24.2%Turnover Rate21.7%

15.5%Free Throw Rate18.6%

41.4%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.