UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%UC Riverside

81.6%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -443

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 74

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 85

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal State Northridge

41.2MMH Power Index50

103.1Offensive Efficiency107.3

110.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-7.0Net Efficiency2.1

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.6

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.7Tempo75.9

49.8%Effective FG%51.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-4.9Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–103.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.1), net efficiency (2.1–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.6), free throw rate (35.2–34.7).

Final

UC Riverside

68—64

Cal State Northridge

UC Riverside by 4 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal State Northridge

23-59FG22-55

39.0%FG%40.0%

9-253PT7-20

36.0%3PT%35.0%

13-15FT13-20

87.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists15

16Turnovers18

10Steals11

2Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	33	11-26	3-10	2-3	1	2	4	0	27
Kaleb Smith	F	32	5-12	1-5	3-4	5	0	1	0	14
Isaiah Moses	G	26	3-5	2-2	2-2	4	2	1	0	10
Nate Pickens	G	29	1-5	1-4	4-4	5	4	1	2	7
Niyi Olabode	Guard	17	1-3	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	5
Parker Strauss	G	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	3
Joel Armotrading	C	24	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Rikus Schulte	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jack Whitbourn	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Gavin Davis	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	30	9-14	5-8	0-0	4	0	3	1	23
Keonte Jones	G	37	4-10	0-2	3-4	10	6	3	1	11
PJ Fuller II	Guard	24	3-7	0-2	2-4	0	2	1	0	8
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	31	2-10	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Mahmoud Fofana	F	27	0-3	0-1	5-8	8	2	2	0	5
Tyler Beard	Guard	23	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	3	2	1	5
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	8	2-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Grady Lewis	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jordan Brinson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

96.0Offensive Efficiency90.4

90.4Defensive Efficiency96.0

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

46.6%Effective FG%46.4%

51.4%True Shooting %49.6%

22.5%Turnover Rate25.5%

25.4%Free Throw Rate36.4%

42.4%3-Point Rate36.4%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.