UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%UC San Diego

57.1%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -133

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 73

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 76

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricUC Santa Barbara

53.4MMH Power Index51.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency113.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency106.1

7.7Net Efficiency7.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

69.8Tempo68.5

53.1%Effective FG%54.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.4Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–106.1), net efficiency (7.7–7.1), strength of schedule (-1.3–-2.0).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–108.4), shooting efficiency (54.8–53.1), offensive rebounding (32.5–26.9).

Final

UC San Diego

84—76

UC Santa Barbara

UC San Diego by 8 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

28-64FG25-49

44.0%FG%51.0%

8-313PT14-29

26.0%3PT%48.0%

20-24FT12-15

83.0%FT%80.0%

35Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists10

7Turnovers18

10Steals4

1Blocks3

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	35	7-13	0-2	8-9	6	3	1	0	22
Nordin Kapic	F	24	6-16	1-9	6-6	6	1	1	0	19
Hayden Gray	Guard	32	6-9	1-1	0-0	8	3	4	0	13
Justin Rochelin	G	20	2-7	2-6	5-6	2	0	1	1	11
Maximo Milovich	Forward	14	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Aidan Burke	G	10	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Tyler McGhie	Guard	33	1-9	1-7	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Chris Howell	G	32	1-2	0-1	1-3	3	2	1	0	3

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	35	7-12	7-9	0-0	4	5	3	0	21
Jason Fontenet II	G	34	5-7	0-1	7-8	12	2	0	1	17
Deuce Turner	G	26	5-12	3-8	1-1	0	0	1	0	14
Colin Smith	F	27	4-9	2-5	3-4	4	1	0	0	13
Kenny Pohto	Forward	28	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	2	0	2	5
Max Murrell	Forward	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ben Shtolzberg	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Cole Anderson	Guard	25	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Koat Keat Tong	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

123.9Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency123.9

11.8Net Efficiency-11.8

50.0%Effective FG%65.3%

55.7%True Shooting %67.7%

10.4%Turnover Rate26.4%

37.5%Free Throw Rate30.6%

48.4%3-Point Rate59.2%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.