Nebraska

28-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Nebraska

69.4%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -227

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNebraska 70

Projected Total145.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 76

Team Comparison

NebraskaMetricMichigan State

67MMH Power Index69.8

114.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

98.3Defensive Efficiency101.5

16.1Net Efficiency15.5

6.1Strength of Schedule7.2

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.3Tempo67.3

55.6%Effective FG%54.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

26.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

10.8Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–67.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–114.4), strength of schedule (7.2–6.1), recent form (9.5–6.8).

Nebraska COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.3–101.5), net efficiency (16.1–15.5), shooting efficiency (55.6–54.1).

Final

Nebraska

52—89

Michigan State

Michigan State by 37 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NebraskaTEAM STATMichigan State

18-54FG29-56

33.0%FG%52.0%

4-223PT9-23

18.0%3PT%39.0%

12-18FT22-23

67.0%FT%96.0%

19Rebounds48

4Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists20

11Turnovers17

8Steals4

—Blocks5

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Andrew Morgan	Forward	28	6-13	0-1	2-3	7	1	1	14
Brice Williams	Guard	34	3-7	1-3	4-4	0	0	1	11
Juwan Gary	Forward	29	4-11	1-5	0-2	3	0	0	9
Rollie Worster	Guard	26	3-7	0-1	3-5	1	3	2	9
Berke Buyuktuncel	F	13	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	3
Cale Jacobsen	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	3
Sam Hoiberg	G	10	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	2
Connor Essegian	G	20	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	1
Ahron Ulis	Guard	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0
Braxton Meah	Center	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0
Gavin Griffiths	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	20	5-10	4-8	4-4	2	1	0	0	18
Jase Richardson	Guard	15	5-7	2-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	16
Xavier Booker	F	15	4-6	1-3	2-2	6	0	0	0	11
Jaxon Kohler	F	24	3-3	0-0	2-2	12	4	1	2	8
Tre Holloman	G	24	3-10	2-7	0-0	4	4	0	0	8
Coen Carr	F	22	2-5	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	2	8
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	22	1-4	0-1	4-4	3	8	1	0	6
Szymon Zapala	Center	14	3-4	0-1	0-1	6	0	1	1	6
Carson Cooper	C	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	4
Frankie Fidler	Forward	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Kur Teng	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Gehrig Normand	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

73.4Offensive Efficiency125.7

125.7Defensive Efficiency73.4

-52.3Net Efficiency52.3

37.0%Effective FG%59.8%

41.6%True Shooting %66.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate23.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate41.1%

40.7%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 37 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.