Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Providence

53.8%Rhode Island

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRhode Island -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINERhode Island -116

Rhode Island

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 77

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreRhode Island 79

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricRhode Island

54.2MMH Power Index51

115.0Offensive Efficiency105.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency102.5

1.8Net Efficiency2.5

4.0Strength of Schedule3.8

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.3

74.2Tempo66.5

55.0%Effective FG%50.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate19.2%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

37.3%Free Throw Rate39.5%

1.3Average Margin1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–105.0), strength of schedule (4.0–3.8), recent form (-1.3–-6.3).

Rhode Island COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.5–113.2), net efficiency (2.5–1.8), free throw rate (39.5–37.3).

Final

Providence

63—69

Rhode Island

Rhode Island by 6 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATRhode Island

25-57FG26-61

44.0%FG%43.0%

5-203PT5-15

25.0%3PT%33.0%

8-15FT12-19

53.0%FT%63.0%

35Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists11

13Turnovers12

10Steals9

4Blocks6

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	34	7-13	2-5	0-1	3	3	2	0	16
Bryce Hopkins	F	30	6-15	1-4	3-6	8	2	3	0	16
Jayden Pierre	G	34	4-8	1-4	3-4	4	1	3	0	12
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	7	2-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	5
Christ Essandoko	F	28	2-5	0-1	0-0	7	0	1	3	4
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	18	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	3
Rich Barron	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Rhode Island

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Thomas	Guard	38	7-14	3-5	2-3	3	4	2	0	19
Jaden House	Guard	25	7-13	1-2	3-4	5	3	0	0	18
David Green	F	26	4-11	1-3	3-4	8	0	0	3	12
David Fuchs	F	25	4-6	0-1	1-4	7	2	3	2	9
Jamarques Lawrence	G	26	2-6	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	6
Tyonne Farrell	F	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Drissa Traore	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Javonte Brown	Center	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	1
Cam Estevez	G	17	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

92.5Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.3Defensive Efficiency92.5

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

48.2%Effective FG%46.7%

49.1%True Shooting %49.3%

19.1%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.3%Free Throw Rate31.1%

35.1%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Rhode Island won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.