UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%UMBC

48.5%Towson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTowson -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL136.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -106

Towson

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 68

Projected Total136.0

Projected ScoreTowson 68

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricTowson

59.1MMH Power Index54

113.0Offensive Efficiency106.7

99.0Defensive Efficiency101.9

14.0Net Efficiency4.8

-5.6Strength of Schedule0.5

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

65.5Tempo64.9

54.3%Effective FG%47.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %36.6%

34.1%Free Throw Rate30.5%

9.1Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–54.0), offensive efficiency (113.0–106.7), defensive efficiency (99.0–101.9), net efficiency (14.0–4.8).

Towson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.6), offensive rebounding (36.6–25.2).

Final

UMBC

84—71

Towson

UMBC by 13 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATTowson

31-60FG30-78

52.0%FG%38.0%

10-253PT7-26

40.0%3PT%27.0%

12-16FT4-9

75.0%FT%44.0%

32Rebounds48

2Offensive Rebounds18

16Assists7

8Turnovers9

7Steals3

—Blocks4

10Fouls14

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	31	8-18	5-11	1-1	2	2	1	22
Ace Valentine	G	35	7-9	1-3	2-5	2	4	1	17
Josh Odunowo	F	30	5-10	0-0	7-8	5	2	3	17
Bryce Johnson	Guard	34	6-11	0-2	0-0	6	5	0	12
Louie Jordan	F	32	3-6	3-6	0-0	12	1	1	9
Devan Sapp	Guard	18	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	5
Marlon Short	Guard	10	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2
JC Harris	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Towson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Williamson	G	32	8-13	4-8	1-2	3	1	0	0	21
Tyler Tejada	G	32	7-19	2-8	2-4	9	0	0	0	18
Mekhi Lowery	G	30	6-8	0-0	0-1	11	1	2	2	12
Messiah Jones	Forward	15	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	2	6
Nendah Tarke	Guard	25	2-12	0-3	1-2	5	1	0	0	5
Christian May	G	30	2-7	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Tomiwa Sulaiman	Forward	15	1-6	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Caleb Embeya	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Abdou Samb	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rahdir Hicks	Guard	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

114.4Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency114.4

17.7Net Efficiency-17.7

60.0%Effective FG%42.9%

62.1%True Shooting %43.1%

10.9%Turnover Rate12.3%

26.7%Free Throw Rate11.5%

41.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

UMBC won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.