South Dakota

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%South Dakota

43.5%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.8

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota -130

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 79

Projected Total156.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 78

Team Comparison

South DakotaMetricNorthern Arizona

43.8MMH Power Index36.9

110.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

110.8Defensive Efficiency114.8

-0.8Net Efficiency-7.7

-4.9Strength of Schedule-1.8

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

72.4Tempo66.6

50.9%Effective FG%53.5%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

46.2%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-0.6Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.8–36.9), offensive efficiency (110.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (110.8–114.8), net efficiency (-0.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-4.9), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.9), ball security (15.8–16.3).

Final

South Dakota

82—95

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 13 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South DakotaTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

27-62FG31-55

44.0%FG%56.0%

6-223PT9-20

27.0%3PT%45.0%

22-33FT24-35

67.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists20

9Turnovers9

7Steals4

1Blocks1

25Fouls23

Player Box Score

South Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Bruns	G	25	6-12	3-5	7-7	7	1	0	0	22
Chase Forte	G	29	6-14	0-1	3-8	5	5	4	0	15
Paul Bruns	Guard	29	3-8	1-4	2-2	5	1	0	0	9
Cameron Fens	C	21	4-7	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	9
Max Burchill	Guard	15	4-4	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Kaleb Stewart	Guard	29	3-11	0-5	2-4	3	1	1	0	8
Shey Eberwein	G	15	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Ashton Smith	F	13	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	1	3
Jevon Hill	Forward	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Dre Bullock	G	9	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jake Brack	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	37	6-14	2-7	9-12	4	3	1	0	23
Jayden Jackson	G	34	6-9	1-2	7-9	3	7	0	0	20
Monty Bowser	G	24	6-7	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	14
Carson Towt	F	30	4-7	0-0	2-5	18	6	2	1	10
Oakland Fort	G	23	3-7	2-5	2-2	1	3	0	0	10
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	15	4-4	0-0	1-3	5	0	0	0	9
Ryan Abelman	G	23	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Dillan Baker	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Diego Campisano	F	4	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

108.3Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency108.3

-17.2Net Efficiency17.2

48.4%Effective FG%64.5%

52.8%True Shooting %66.3%

11.7%Turnover Rate12.1%

53.2%Free Throw Rate63.6%

35.5%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.