UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%UTSA

99.0%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -31.8

PROJECTED TOTAL165.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -9900

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 67

Projected Total165.2

Projected ScoreArkansas 98

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricArkansas

30.5MMH Power Index69.3

99.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

115.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

-16.0Net Efficiency12.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule8.6

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.2Tempo73.8

45.9%Effective FG%56.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate12.2%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-11.3Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–30.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–99.0), defensive efficiency (109.8–115.0), net efficiency (12.4–-16.0).

Final

UTSA

60—75

Arkansas

Arkansas by 15 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATArkansas

24-59FG28-53

41.0%FG%53.0%

7-243PT5-15

29.0%3PT%33.0%

5-5FT14-19

100.0%FT%74.0%

22Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists15

9Turnovers15

8Steals5

4Blocks5

17Fouls7

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	37	8-19	3-6	0-0	0	2	1	0	19
Marcus Millender	G	36	6-14	3-9	3-3	2	2	1	0	18
Raekwon Horton	Forward	33	2-4	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	0	6
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	21	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	3	0	4
Jaquan Scott	F	17	2-7	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Damari Monsanto	Guard	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Mo Njie	C	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	4	2
Skylar Wicks	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	30	8-10	0-1	10-13	10	3	0	1	26
Johnell Davis	Guard	34	5-7	3-5	0-0	1	3	0	1	13
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	27	3-9	0-0	2-2	7	2	1	2	8
D.J. Wagner	G	33	3-7	1-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	7
Karter Knox	G	18	2-4	1-3	2-3	2	0	1	0	7
Boogie Fland	G	31	3-11	0-3	0-1	6	7	1	0	6
Trevon Brazile	F	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	6
Billy Richmond III	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

89.3Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency89.3

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

46.6%Effective FG%57.5%

48.9%True Shooting %60.5%

13.6%Turnover Rate22.1%

8.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

40.7%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.