Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%Virginia

44.9%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -123

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreSMU 79

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricSMU

68.9MMH Power Index62.5

119.0Offensive Efficiency118.2

101.8Defensive Efficiency109.6

17.2Net Efficiency8.6

5.2Strength of Schedule7.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

67.6Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%55.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

11.6Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–62.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.2), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.6), net efficiency (17.2–8.6).

SMU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–5.2), shooting efficiency (55.7–55.0), ball security (15.7–16.0).

Final

Virginia

51—63

SMU

SMU by 12 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATSMU

16-47FG21-49

34.0%FG%43.0%

8-193PT6-24

42.0%3PT%25.0%

11-12FT15-20

92.0%FT%75.0%

25Rebounds36

3Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists13

14Turnovers12

8Steals8

2Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	34	5-12	4-8	3-3	3	3	0	0	17
Andrew Rohde	G	31	3-8	1-2	2-2	2	3	1	0	9
Jacob Cofie	F	24	3-6	1-2	1-1	2	3	0	2	8
Blake Buchanan	F	25	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	0	4
Elijah Saunders	F	25	0-6	0-2	3-4	3	0	1	0	3
Ishan Sharma	F	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	3
TJ Power	F	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Taine Murray	Guard	26	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Dai Dai Ames	G	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Anthony Robinson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kario Oquendo	Guard	27	6-10	4-6	5-6	6	0	0	0	21
Samet Yigitoglu	C	31	7-8	0-0	2-4	6	0	1	0	16
Boopie Miller	G	29	3-9	0-5	3-3	3	4	2	1	9
Chuck Harris	Guard	20	2-7	1-5	4-4	1	2	0	0	9
Matt Cross	Forward	26	2-9	1-6	1-3	10	3	1	0	6
Jerrell Colbert	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
B.J. Edwards	G	33	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	3	4	0	0
Yohan Traore	F	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Keon Ambrose-Hylton	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

80.8Offensive Efficiency99.8

99.8Defensive Efficiency80.8

-19.0Net Efficiency19.0

42.6%Effective FG%49.0%

48.4%True Shooting %53.8%

22.0%Turnover Rate19.2%

25.5%Free Throw Rate40.8%

40.4%3-Point Rate49.0%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

SMU won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.