Stony Brook

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.3%Stony Brook

10.7%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStony Brook -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL142.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStony Brook -835

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStony Brook 78

Projected Total142.2

Projected ScoreAir Force 64

Team Comparison

Stony BrookMetricAir Force

46.6MMH Power Index23

105.9Offensive Efficiency91.3

105.0Defensive Efficiency118.5

0.9Net Efficiency-27.2

-0.7Strength of Schedule6.2

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

67.7Tempo67.4

51.0%Effective FG%49.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate21.9%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

28.9%Free Throw Rate35.9%

0.6Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stony Brook HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStony Brook holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.6–23.0), offensive efficiency (105.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (105.0–118.5), net efficiency (0.9–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-0.7), free throw rate (35.9–28.9).

Final

Stony Brook

61—69

Air Force

Air Force by 8 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Stony BrookTEAM STATAir Force

22-59FG24-42

37.0%FG%57.0%

3-213PT6-18

14.0%3PT%33.0%

14-17FT15-19

82.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds29

14Offensive Rebounds4

12Assists16

17Turnovers22

8Steals9

2Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Stony Brook

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Luster II	G	34	7-17	3-9	10-10	3	0	1	0	27
Collin O'Connor	G	37	5-9	0-2	3-3	2	2	0	0	13
Andre Snoddy	Guard	27	5-9	0-1	1-1	5	1	0	0	11
Joe Octave	Guard	31	4-13	0-3	0-3	7	2	1	0	8
Leon Nahar	F	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ben Wight	Forward	31	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	5	3	0	0
Jared Frey	G	19	0-5	0-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Sabry Philip	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	2	0
Nick Woodard	SF	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Celichowski	C	25	6-10	2-4	8-8	4	1	0	0	22
Ethan Taylor	Guard	35	6-11	3-6	2-2	8	6	3	2	17
Caleb Walker	F	15	6-6	0-0	2-4	2	0	1	1	14
Kyle Marshall	G	38	2-5	0-1	3-4	6	3	3	0	7
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	32	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Byron Brown	Guard	20	1-2	1-2	0-1	0	2	1	0	3
Luke Kearney	F	21	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Will Cooper	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Sam Springer	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Duskin	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

87.6Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency87.6

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

39.8%Effective FG%64.3%

45.5%True Shooting %67.6%

24.3%Turnover Rate31.9%

28.8%Free Throw Rate45.2%

35.6%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Air Force won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.