Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.7%Lafayette

76.3%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -322

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 65

Projected Total139.9

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 75

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricMercyhurst

39.6MMH Power Index45.5

102.9Offensive Efficiency105.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency102.2

-7.4Net Efficiency3.0

-1.4Strength of Schedule-5.7

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.5Tempo65.9

49.4%Effective FG%50.5%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.4%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

33.0%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-5.0Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–39.6), offensive efficiency (105.2–102.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–110.3), net efficiency (3.0–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-5.7), free throw rate (33.0–25.4).

Final

Lafayette

77—73

Mercyhurst

Lafayette by 4 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATMercyhurst

26-51FG24-51

51.0%FG%47.0%

11-223PT12-23

50.0%3PT%52.0%

14-21FT13-17

67.0%FT%76.0%

30Rebounds22

11Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists16

14Turnovers11

3Steals8

7Blocks2

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Chaikin	G	26	7-8	6-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	20
Justin Vander Baan	C	29	3-5	0-0	7-9	6	2	0	5	13
Andrew Phillips	G	22	4-6	1-1	1-3	3	0	0	0	10
Malik Rasul	F	14	4-8	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	9
Luka Savicevic	G	24	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	5	1	0	8
Mark Butler	G	29	3-7	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Chris Rubayo	F	11	0-0	0-0	5-6	4	2	0	1	5
Caleb Williams	G	26	1-6	1-4	1-3	4	2	0	0	4
Ryan Pettit	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Joshua Wyche	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
TJ Berger	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	34	6-14	4-9	5-6	5	4	1	0	21
Aidan Reichert	Forward	32	7-12	4-4	0-1	6	2	3	0	18
Jeff Planutis	Forward	37	4-7	1-2	4-4	2	3	1	0	13
Max Jusianiec	G	24	2-3	1-2	3-4	2	2	1	1	8
Jake Lemelman	G	13	2-4	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	6
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
Bernie Blunt III	G	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	2
Christian Gamble	G	18	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
James Thomas	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

120.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency120.1

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

61.8%Effective FG%58.8%

63.1%True Shooting %61.8%

21.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate33.3%

43.1%3-Point Rate45.1%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.