Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.6%Middle Tennessee

82.4%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -468

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 72

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreBelmont 83

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricBelmont

52.5MMH Power Index61.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

105.7Defensive Efficiency103.7

3.9Net Efficiency14.9

0.4Strength of Schedule-0.2

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

68.8Tempo70.7

52.2%Effective FG%60.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate32.7%

2.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–52.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.6), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.7), net efficiency (14.9–3.9).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.4–-0.2), ball security (16.7–17.8), offensive rebounding (31.3–28.8).

Final

Middle Tennessee

79—82

Belmont

Belmont by 3 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATBelmont

30-66FG31-73

45.0%FG%42.0%

10-263PT6-19

38.0%3PT%32.0%

9-12FT14-21

75.0%FT%67.0%

40Rebounds42

12Offensive Rebounds19

15Assists19

14Turnovers8

5Steals11

6Blocks2

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jlynn Counter	G	22	8-16	3-6	3-5	3	5	0	1	22
Jestin Porter	G	30	7-16	5-12	2-2	2	0	0	2	21
Essam Mostafa	Forward	23	6-10	0-0	1-1	11	1	1	0	13
Tre Green	G	20	3-3	2-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Camryn Weston	Guard	24	3-8	0-1	0-0	6	4	1	0	6
Torey Alston	F	10	1-1	0-0	3-4	3	0	1	1	5
Justin Bufford	Guard	34	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	2	2
Kamari Lands	G	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jacob Johnson	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Whitt	Guard	36	4-12	0-4	6-7	8	8	3	0	14
Isaiah Walker	G	35	6-12	0-2	2-4	8	1	2	0	14
Sam Orme	F	26	5-11	1-3	1-2	9	2	1	1	12
Brigham Rogers	F	24	4-9	0-0	4-6	2	5	2	0	12
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	28	4-10	2-3	0-0	6	2	3	0	10
Tyler Lundblade	G	28	3-8	3-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Drew Scharnowski	F	11	3-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	7
Brody Peebles	Guard	11	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Win Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

108.4Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

53.0%Effective FG%46.6%

55.1%True Shooting %49.4%

19.0%Turnover Rate11.1%

18.2%Free Throw Rate28.8%

39.4%3-Point Rate26.0%

1.07Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

Belmont won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.