Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Florida State

66.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -194

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 78

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreNC State 85

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricNC State

58.7MMH Power Index60.1

111.9Offensive Efficiency118.4

108.5Defensive Efficiency108.6

3.4Net Efficiency9.8

5.7Strength of Schedule6.4

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

71.8Tempo70.2

52.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

2.4Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–58.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.9), net efficiency (9.8–3.4), strength of schedule (6.4–5.7).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.5–108.6), recent form (7.6–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.3–28.2).

Final

Florida State

74—84

NC State

NC State by 10 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATNC State

23-54FG28-54

43.0%FG%52.0%

3-163PT8-23

19.0%3PT%35.0%

25-29FT20-29

86.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists10

13Turnovers10

4Steals6

4Blocks4

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	39	4-13	0-4	16-17	6	3	2	0	24
Malique Ewin	F	34	11-14	0-0	1-1	9	1	0	2	23
Daquan Davis	G	33	3-8	1-4	4-5	1	1	1	1	11
Justin Thomas	G	29	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	23	1-3	0-1	3-4	5	0	1	0	5
Jerry Deng	F	13	1-5	1-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	4
Chandler Jackson	G	29	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Bostyn Holt	Guard	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Swinton	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alier Maluk	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	33	7-12	1-2	8-10	6	2	0	0	23
Dontrez Styles	Guard	29	7-13	3-7	4-4	5	0	2	0	21
Jayden Taylor	Guard	39	3-8	1-4	7-10	4	0	0	1	14
Michael O'Connell	Guard	36	3-5	1-3	1-4	3	4	1	0	8
Breon Pass	Guard	12	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	27	2-4	0-0	0-1	4	1	1	2	4
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	16	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Trey Parker	G	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

106.8Offensive Efficiency121.2

121.2Defensive Efficiency106.8

-14.4Net Efficiency14.4

45.4%Effective FG%59.3%

54.6%True Shooting %62.0%

18.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

53.7%Free Throw Rate53.7%

29.6%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.54Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

NC State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.