Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Omaha

58.5%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -141

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 79

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreSacramento State 81

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricSacramento State

44.5MMH Power Index43

110.2Offensive Efficiency106.1

110.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

-0.6Net Efficiency-5.9

-2.5Strength of Schedule0.9

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

69.0Tempo73.2

53.6%Effective FG%48.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.2%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-0.5Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Omaha HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOmaha holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–43.0), offensive efficiency (110.2–106.1), defensive efficiency (110.8–112.0), net efficiency (-0.6–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.5), ball security (14.2–16.0), free throw rate (41.8–34.0).

Final

Omaha

70—60

Sacramento State

Omaha by 10 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATSacramento State

27-60FG16-45

45.0%FG%36.0%

8-233PT8-26

35.0%3PT%31.0%

8-8FT20-26

100.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists11

10Turnovers17

12Steals5

2Blocks5

23Fouls12

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marquel Sutton	F	28	9-17	2-3	3-3	8	2	1	0	23
Tony Osburn	G	25	5-11	2-7	3-3	5	1	3	0	15
JJ White	G	28	4-5	1-2	0-0	0	4	0	0	9
Lance Waddles	G	15	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Kamryn Thomas	F	26	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Joshua Streit	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	4	1	4
Ja'Sean Glover	G	18	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	3	1	0	4
Isaac Ondekane	C	17	1-8	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Sebastian Perry	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Grant Stubblefield	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Pablo Soumare	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Khamani Cooper	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lincoln Palbicki	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	23	4-10	3-7	4-4	6	1	0	2	15
Michael Wilson	G	24	1-5	1-4	6-7	6	0	1	1	9
Bailey Nunn	G	36	2-8	1-6	2-2	2	6	2	0	7
Chudi Dioramma	F	17	2-3	0-0	3-5	10	0	0	2	7
Julian Vaughns	Guard	21	2-6	0-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	6
EJ Neal Jr.	G	11	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Lachlan Brewer	G	19	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Emil Skytta	G	26	0-0	0-0	3-6	3	2	1	0	3
Deonte Williams	Guard	17	1-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Bowyn Beatty	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

105.9Offensive Efficiency90.8

90.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

15.1Net Efficiency-15.1

51.7%Effective FG%44.4%

54.9%True Shooting %52.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate26.0%

13.3%Free Throw Rate57.8%

38.3%3-Point Rate57.8%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Omaha won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.