Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Northwestern State

57.7%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston Christian -136

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 69

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricHouston Christian

41.3MMH Power Index39.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

109.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

-5.0Net Efficiency-7.8

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

63.6Tempo65.4

49.5%Effective FG%49.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–39.5), offensive efficiency (104.0–102.5), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (-5.0–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.6), shooting efficiency (49.9–49.5), offensive rebounding (30.5–27.1).

Final

Northwestern State

64—57

Houston Christian

Northwestern State by 7 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATHouston Christian

26-50FG22-52

52.0%FG%42.0%

3-113PT5-21

27.0%3PT%24.0%

9-11FT8-13

82.0%FT%62.0%

32Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists9

13Turnovers12

6Steals5

5Blocks2

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Addison Patterson	F	29	10-16	1-2	4-6	5	1	3	0	25
Jon Sanders II	G	27	5-9	2-4	5-5	2	0	1	0	17
Willie Williams	F	32	5-6	0-0	0-0	11	2	0	0	10
Jerald Colonel	F	23	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4	8
JT Warren	Forward	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Love Bettis	G	19	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Micah Thomas	G	22	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	0
Landyn Jumawan	G	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Dontae Walker	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryson Dawkins	G	37	5-10	1-3	2-5	5	2	1	0	13
Julian Mackey	G	23	2-11	0-6	5-5	1	2	1	0	9
D'Aundre Samuels	G	12	4-8	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Elijah Brooks	G	28	3-6	0-1	1-3	5	1	0	0	7
Demari Williams	G	15	3-5	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Trent Johnson	F	32	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	3	1	6
Porter Bazil	SF	12	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Peyton Rogers	Forward	28	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Pierce Bazil	PG	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mason McBride	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

105.4Offensive Efficiency93.9

93.9Defensive Efficiency105.4

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

55.0%Effective FG%47.1%

57.9%True Shooting %49.0%

21.6%Turnover Rate19.6%

22.0%Free Throw Rate25.0%

22.0%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.