Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Denver

65.3%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.9

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -188

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 76

Projected Total159.9

Projected ScorePortland State 83

Team Comparison

DenverMetricPortland State

49.1MMH Power Index50.2

119.2Offensive Efficiency109.3

119.2Defensive Efficiency100.2

0.0Net Efficiency9.1

-2.6Strength of Schedule-5.6

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

69.5Tempo70.1

55.3%Effective FG%51.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

0.0Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–49.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–119.2), net efficiency (9.1–0.0), offensive rebounding (31.6–30.9).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–109.3), strength of schedule (-2.6–-5.6), recent form (4.0–0.4).

Final

Denver

68—67

Portland State

Denver by 1 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATPortland State

24-58FG24-54

41.0%FG%44.0%

9-233PT5-20

39.0%3PT%25.0%

11-14FT14-26

79.0%FT%54.0%

30Rebounds37

8Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists18

5Turnovers8

5Steals4

2Blocks7

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	33	7-10	7-10	0-0	1	3	1	1	21
Nick Shogbonyo	G	31	6-12	2-4	5-6	6	1	1	0	19
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	35	5-17	0-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	12
Pedro Lopez-Sanvicente	Forward	24	2-4	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	1	6
Josh Lee	G	28	2-4	0-0	1-2	8	3	0	0	5
Josh Pickett	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Jon Mani	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Sebastian Akins	G	22	0-5	0-1	1-2	2	3	1	0	1

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	34	6-17	2-7	2-3	3	2	0	1	16
Terri Miller Jr.	F	18	6-8	0-1	2-6	7	1	1	0	14
Shane Nowell	Guard	27	4-8	0-2	4-5	4	2	1	0	12
Hayden Curtiss	Center	25	4-7	3-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	11
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	4	8
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	29	1-4	0-2	3-6	4	0	0	0	5
Qiant Myers	Guard	31	0-5	0-3	1-2	1	10	1	1	1
Cole Farrell	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	2	1	1	0
Kelcy Phipps	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

109.5Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

49.1%Effective FG%49.1%

52.6%True Shooting %50.5%

8.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

24.1%Free Throw Rate48.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate37.0%

3.00Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Denver won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.