Pacific

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Pacific

73.7%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -280

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePacific 68

Projected Total142.5

Projected ScoreIllinois State 75

Team Comparison

PacificMetricIllinois State

49.6MMH Power Index54.3

109.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

104.0Defensive Efficiency101.4

5.9Net Efficiency9.2

-1.5Strength of Schedule1.0

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

66.2Tempo67.5

53.5%Effective FG%54.3%

19.7%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

30.9%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–49.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.9), defensive efficiency (101.4–104.0), net efficiency (9.2–5.9).

Pacific COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.3–28.3).

Final

Pacific

61—72

Illinois State

Illinois State by 11 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PacificTEAM STATIllinois State

22-57FG23-52

39.0%FG%44.0%

8-253PT10-25

32.0%3PT%40.0%

9-9FT16-19

100.0%FT%84.0%

33Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists13

12Turnovers8

1Steals5

2Blocks—

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jazz Gardner	C	26	6-9	1-2	2-2	4	0	1	0	15
Lamar Washington	G	36	4-11	3-5	3-3	7	2	0	0	14
Elijah Fisher	G	26	5-12	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	1	12
Elias Ralph	F	27	3-13	2-7	2-2	10	1	0	1	10
Jefferson Koulibaly	G	35	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Petar Krivokapic	Guard	33	2-9	1-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Seth Jones	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Burke Smith	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kris Keinys	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chase Walker	F	22	7-13	0-1	8-8	11	3	0	22
Jack Daugherty	F	21	5-7	5-7	0-0	1	0	0	15
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	4-12	2-7	4-5	6	4	1	14
Caden Boser	Forward	17	3-6	2-4	1-2	3	1	1	9
Landon Wolf	G	23	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	2	5
Dalton Banks	Guard	33	1-3	0-0	1-2	6	4	1	3
Ty Pence	G	15	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	2
Cade Norris	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	13	0-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Davis	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

96.5Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency96.5

-17.4Net Efficiency17.4

45.6%Effective FG%53.8%

49.8%True Shooting %59.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

15.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

43.9%3-Point Rate48.1%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.