Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.6%Fresno State

92.4%Santa Clara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSanta Clara -16.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINESanta Clara -1216

Santa Clara

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 68

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreSanta Clara 85

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricSanta Clara

47.1MMH Power Index64.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency118.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.4

0.0Net Efficiency14.3

1.5Strength of Schedule4.0

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

69.4Tempo69.8

51.3%Effective FG%54.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %35.9%

35.5%Free Throw Rate25.3%

0.0Average Margin10.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Santa Clara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSanta Clara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.9–47.1), offensive efficiency (118.7–104.9), defensive efficiency (104.4–104.9), net efficiency (14.3–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (35.5–25.3).

Final

Fresno State

66—81

Santa Clara

Santa Clara by 15 • 76.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATSanta Clara

23-59FG26-62

39.0%FG%42.0%

6-153PT13-31

40.0%3PT%42.0%

14-21FT16-22

67.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists20

17Turnovers16

10Steals13

2Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	35	5-10	2-4	5-6	5	6	4	0	17
Mykell Robinson	Forward	36	6-18	3-5	0-1	7	2	0	0	15
Alex Crawford	F	26	5-7	0-0	3-4	2	1	3	1	13
Elijah Price	F	35	3-10	0-0	6-7	4	0	1	1	12
Brian Amuneke	G	15	1-2	1-1	0-3	3	0	0	0	3
Jalen Weaver	Guard	28	1-8	0-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Amar Augillard	G	12	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Mor Seck	C	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jasir Tremble	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Santa Clara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	26	5-8	3-4	5-6	0	4	2	0	18
Tyeree Bryan	G	27	5-7	4-6	2-4	6	3	5	1	16
Christoph Tilly	C	26	5-9	2-3	2-4	5	0	1	0	14
Adama-Alpha Bal	Guard	29	3-10	1-5	5-6	3	2	1	1	12
Elijah Mahi	F	26	3-9	2-4	0-0	6	3	2	1	8
Camaron Tongue	Forward	9	3-6	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Brenton Knapper	G	14	1-5	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	4
Johnny O'Neil	Forward	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	1	3
Jake Ensminger	G	25	0-1	0-1	0-0	11	5	1	0	0
Bukky Oboye	C	3	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.3Possessions76.3

86.5Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency86.5

-19.7Net Efficiency19.7

44.1%Effective FG%52.4%

47.8%True Shooting %55.9%

21.8%Turnover Rate21.5%

35.6%Free Throw Rate35.5%

25.4%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Santa Clara won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 76.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.