Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Indiana State

77.8%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -350

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 71

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreMissouri State 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricMissouri State

44.4MMH Power Index51.1

104.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

106.0Defensive Efficiency108.4

-1.3Net Efficiency2.1

0.1Strength of Schedule0.5

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

70.3Tempo67.9

53.6%Effective FG%51.8%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-0.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–104.7), net efficiency (2.1–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–108.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.8).

Final

Indiana State

80—77

Missouri State

Indiana State by 3 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATMissouri State

32-56FG26-58

57.0%FG%45.0%

10-273PT8-22

37.0%3PT%36.0%

6-10FT17-27

60.0%FT%63.0%

31Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds12

18Assists10

14Turnovers10

4Steals11

4Blocks1

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	37	9-12	3-6	2-4	7	9	1	0	23
Jaden Daughtry	F	27	9-14	0-0	2-3	4	1	1	1	20
K'mani Doughty	Guard	27	2-6	1-4	2-3	5	0	1	1	7
Jahni Summers	G	11	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Josiah LeGree	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	5	0	1	5
Jayan Walker	G	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Merritt Alderink	F	3	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Bruno Alocen	G	31	2-6	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Camp Wagner	G	21	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Derek Vorst	C	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dez White	G	36	9-18	5-11	7-8	4	5	2	1	30
Vincent Brady II	G	32	5-8	3-4	2-5	4	1	1	0	15
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	25	6-11	0-0	1-4	10	1	3	0	13
Jalen Hampton	G	28	3-5	0-1	5-6	7	0	1	0	11
Chase Martin	Guard	23	3-9	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Zaxton King	G	34	0-7	0-5	0-1	3	2	2	0	0
Wesley Oba	Forward	17	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	2	0	0
Makhai Valentine	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Allen Udemadu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

116.3Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency116.3

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

66.1%Effective FG%51.7%

65.8%True Shooting %54.4%

20.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

17.9%Free Throw Rate46.6%

48.2%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.