Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Northern Colorado

75.0%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -300

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 75

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 83

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricNorth Dakota State

53.7MMH Power Index59

116.0Offensive Efficiency115.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency100.8

8.4Net Efficiency14.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-4.6

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

71.1Tempo69.6

56.9%Effective FG%54.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

27.8%Free Throw Rate31.3%

6.0Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–53.7), defensive efficiency (100.8–107.6), net efficiency (14.6–8.4), recent form (14.3–10.8).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.0–115.4), strength of schedule (-4.3–-4.6), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.5).

Final

Northern Colorado

70—82

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 12 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

26-72FG29-54

36.0%FG%54.0%

6-383PT9-22

16.0%3PT%41.0%

12-14FT15-19

86.0%FT%79.0%

28Rebounds40

3Offensive Rebounds2

11Assists13

3Turnovers15

11Steals2

—Blocks1

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	36	7-16	1-8	4-4	10	2	3	19
Jaron Rillie	Guard	31	6-13	1-4	2-2	4	2	1	15
Quinn Denker	G	27	4-12	1-6	4-4	2	3	2	13
Luca Colceag	F	15	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	6
William Humer	F	10	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	6
Brock Wisne	F	24	2-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	4
Marcell McCreary	G	21	1-6	0-5	2-4	4	1	4	4
Zach Bloch	G	34	1-9	1-9	0-0	2	0	1	3
Egan Shields	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacksen Moni	Forward	25	6-9	1-3	5-6	7	4	1	0	18
Brennan Watkins	G	31	4-6	1-2	2-2	7	3	1	0	11
Masen Miller	Guard	30	3-4	3-4	2-3	1	0	0	0	11
Jacari White	G	23	4-11	2-5	1-1	2	2	0	1	11
Tajavis Miller	G	22	4-11	1-4	2-2	3	0	0	0	11
Darik Dissette	Guard	17	4-4	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	10
Noah Feddersen	F	29	2-5	1-2	0-0	11	0	0	0	5
Luke Kasubke	Guard	13	1-2	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	0	3
Treyson Anderson	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Andy Stefonowicz	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

90.4Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency90.4

-15.5Net Efficiency15.5

40.3%Effective FG%62.0%

44.5%True Shooting %65.1%

3.8%Turnover Rate19.7%

19.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

52.8%3-Point Rate40.7%

3.67Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.