Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Cal State Northridge

53.0%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL169.7

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -113

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 84

Projected Total169.7

Projected ScoreCal Poly 85

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricCal Poly

50MMH Power Index46.5

107.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency111.0

2.1Net Efficiency-3.8

-0.6Strength of Schedule1.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

75.9Tempo76.6

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate19.8%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.6Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–46.5), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.0), net efficiency (2.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-0.6), recent form (2.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0).

Final

Cal State Northridge

102—91

Cal Poly

Cal State Northridge by 11 • 83.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATCal Poly

37-74FG29-70

50.0%FG%41.0%

8-143PT12-43

57.0%3PT%28.0%

20-29FT21-30

69.0%FT%70.0%

47Rebounds41

18Offensive Rebounds16

18Assists19

12Turnovers17

11Steals9

2Blocks4

21Fouls25

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
PJ Fuller II	Guard	30	6-14	2-4	8-9	4	7	3	1	22
Grady Lewis	F	26	8-13	0-0	1-3	14	2	0	1	17
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	18	7-11	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	17
Scotty Washington	G	23	5-12	2-3	4-5	6	0	0	0	16
Keonte Jones	G	21	4-7	1-1	4-6	1	2	2	0	13
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	3-5	0-0	0-2	8	1	5	0	6
Tyler Beard	Guard	21	2-7	0-1	1-2	5	3	0	0	5
Judson Martindale	Forward	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jordan Brinson	G	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	35	9-15	4-9	3-5	10	2	2	1	25
Guzman Vasilic	G	32	6-11	4-9	0-0	7	2	1	0	16
Peter Bandelj	G	29	2-11	2-8	9-11	3	3	1	0	15
Mac Riniker	Guard	33	5-13	1-7	3-4	6	6	1	1	14
Luka Tarlac	G	24	3-7	0-2	2-6	2	4	3	1	8
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	12	3-5	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	7
Ethan Menzies	Forward	16	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Hayden Jory	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Kieran Elliott	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

83.6Possessions83.6

122.0Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency122.0

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

55.4%Effective FG%50.0%

58.1%True Shooting %54.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate19.9%

39.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

18.9%3-Point Rate61.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.12

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 83.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.