UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%UC Santa Barbara

54.4%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -119

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 76

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC Davis

51.4MMH Power Index48.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.1Net Efficiency3.5

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.5Tempo72.4

54.8%Effective FG%52.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate41.5%

4.8Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

60—71

UC Davis

UC Davis by 11 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC Davis

22-56FG22-53

39.0%FG%42.0%

6-213PT9-23

29.0%3PT%39.0%

10-13FT18-23

77.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists12

12Turnovers11

4Steals8

3Blocks4

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	36	6-15	4-10	0-1	4	2	0	0	16
Kenny Pohto	Forward	28	6-11	0-0	4-5	9	1	2	0	16
Deuce Turner	G	22	5-12	0-5	1-1	1	0	0	0	11
Jason Fontenet II	G	35	2-8	1-2	5-6	7	0	1	0	10
Ariel Bland	F	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Cole Anderson	Guard	33	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Colin Smith	F	26	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	2	0
Max Murrell	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Ben Shtolzberg	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	40	9-21	0-3	5-6	8	4	3	0	23
Connor Sevilla	G	32	4-9	3-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
Niko Rocak	F	28	2-3	2-2	5-8	10	4	1	3	11
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	25	3-6	3-6	2-2	6	1	0	0	11
Pablo Tamba	F	31	2-6	0-1	5-6	4	1	2	1	9
Nils Cooper	G	13	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Sione Lose	Guard	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	9	0-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Chappell	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jamaal Unuakhalu	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

90.8Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency90.8

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

44.6%Effective FG%50.0%

48.3%True Shooting %55.5%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

23.2%Free Throw Rate43.4%

37.5%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.