Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Colorado State

55.2%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -123

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 77

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreColorado 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricColorado

55.4MMH Power Index52.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency112.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

7.2Net Efficiency0.5

0.4Strength of Schedule5.1

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

64.7Tempo71.0

58.6%Effective FG%53.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

41.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

4.6Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.7), offensive efficiency (117.1–112.9), defensive efficiency (109.9–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–0.4), ball security (14.6–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

55—55

Colorado

Tied • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATColorado

20-64FG20-64

31.0%FG%31.0%

7-273PT7-27

26.0%3PT%26.0%

8-8FT8-8

100.0%FT%100.0%

33Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists7

11Turnovers11

7Steals7

2Blocks2

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Lake	Guard	33	5-11	3-5	5-5	5	2	2	1	18
Kyan Evans	G	24	4-10	1-6	2-2	2	0	0	0	11
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	4-15	2-6	0-0	8	1	1	0	10
Keshawn Williams	G	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Bowen Born	Guard	22	2-8	0-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	14	1-6	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Kyle Jorgensen	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Nikola Djapa	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	28	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	0
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	13	0-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Lake	Guard	33	5-11	3-5	5-5	5	2	2	1	18
Kyan Evans	G	24	4-10	1-6	2-2	2	0	0	0	11
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	4-15	2-6	0-0	8	1	1	0	10
Keshawn Williams	G	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Bowen Born	Guard	22	2-8	0-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	14	1-6	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Kyle Jorgensen	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Nikola Djapa	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	28	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	0
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	13	0-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

77.7Offensive Efficiency77.7

77.7Defensive Efficiency77.7

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

36.7%Effective FG%36.7%

40.6%True Shooting %40.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.5%

12.5%Free Throw Rate12.5%

42.2%3-Point Rate42.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.