Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Cal State Bakersfield

94.6%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -20.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -1752

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 66

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 86

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC San Diego

32.2MMH Power Index53.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

112.6Defensive Efficiency100.7

-12.4Net Efficiency7.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.3

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

73.0Tempo69.8

46.4%Effective FG%53.1%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-9.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (108.4–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–112.6), net efficiency (7.7–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.9), free throw rate (43.8–33.2).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

60—81

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 21 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC San Diego

22-48FG26-55

46.0%FG%47.0%

5-93PT15-35

56.0%3PT%43.0%

11-12FT14-19

92.0%FT%74.0%

34Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists18

21Turnovers12

8Steals9

4Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	29	4-10	1-2	2-2	1	2	3	1	11
Corey Stephenson	G	26	4-7	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	1	10
Marvin McGhee III	G	28	3-9	2-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	8
Jemel Jones	G	19	3-7	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Marvin McGhee IV	G	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Kadar Waller	G	15	1-4	0-1	3-4	1	1	0	0	5
Shakir Odunewu	C	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	4
Jaden Alexander	G	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Cameron Clark	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	3	1	2
Tom Mark	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Colin Darby	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gloire Goma	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nordin Kapic	F	23	8-11	7-8	2-3	2	1	3	2	25
Hayden Gray	Guard	29	4-8	1-5	2-2	1	3	2	0	11
Tyler McGhie	Guard	28	3-8	1-5	2-2	5	2	1	0	9
Aidan Burke	G	17	3-6	3-5	0-1	2	2	0	0	9
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	28	1-4	0-0	6-8	7	4	2	0	8
Justin Rochelin	G	25	3-9	2-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Chris Howell	G	28	2-5	0-2	0-0	4	5	0	0	4
Maximo Milovich	Forward	15	1-2	0-1	2-3	2	0	0	0	4
Jasen Brooks	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cade Pendleton	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryder Elisaldez	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

86.5Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency86.5

-30.3Net Efficiency30.3

51.0%Effective FG%60.9%

55.9%True Shooting %63.3%

30.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

25.0%Free Throw Rate34.5%

18.8%3-Point Rate63.6%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.