Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Tarleton State

87.0%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -669

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreUCF 84

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUCF

44.6MMH Power Index57.1

103.2Offensive Efficiency113.3

101.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.6Net Efficiency3.3

-2.3Strength of Schedule6.6

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

72.2Tempo71.2

49.0%Effective FG%53.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

1.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.3–103.2), net efficiency (3.3–1.6), strength of schedule (6.6–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), free throw rate (42.8–31.1).

Final

Tarleton State

51—66

UCF

UCF by 15 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUCF

22-53FG19-53

42.0%FG%36.0%

3-73PT9-31

43.0%3PT%29.0%

4-9FT19-22

44.0%FT%86.0%

35Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists14

23Turnovers17

11Steals12

3Blocks6

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bubu Benjamin	G	26	5-7	3-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	13
Chris Mpaka	F	25	4-11	0-0	3-6	9	1	1	1	11
Izzy Miles	G	39	4-10	0-2	1-3	2	3	8	0	9
Keitenn Bristow	F	35	4-10	0-1	0-0	7	4	1	2	8
Jordan Mizell	G	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Ronnie Harrison	F	14	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Nick Krass	G	31	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Joseph Martinez	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Krass	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	27	5-12	4-10	2-2	6	2	3	0	16
Darius Johnson	Guard	39	2-5	2-4	4-4	2	7	3	0	10
Moustapha Thiam	C	31	4-9	0-1	2-2	9	1	2	6	10
Keyshawn Hall	F	28	1-7	1-4	5-6	6	0	1	0	8
Dallan Coleman	Guard	25	3-9	1-7	1-1	3	2	1	0	8
Benny Williams	Forward	17	2-4	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	6
JJ Taylor	F	15	1-3	1-3	3-5	4	0	0	0	6
Dior Johnson	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	2
Nils Machowski	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rokas Jocius	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

78.0Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency78.0

-22.9Net Efficiency22.9

44.3%Effective FG%44.3%

44.5%True Shooting %52.0%

34.7%Turnover Rate26.4%

17.0%Free Throw Rate41.5%

13.2%3-Point Rate58.5%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

UCF won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.