Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Austin Peay

60.6%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -154

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 78

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreSamford 80

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricSamford

54.8MMH Power Index54.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency113.5

103.1Defensive Efficiency108.3

11.9Net Efficiency5.2

-5.8Strength of Schedule-2.9

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

71.0Tempo69.5

53.9%Effective FG%54.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.3%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

39.0%Free Throw Rate42.5%

8.4Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.0–113.5), defensive efficiency (103.1–108.3), net efficiency (11.9–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.9–-5.8), recent form (14.0–8.1), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.9).

Final

Austin Peay

47—72

Samford

Samford by 25 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATSamford

19-54FG27-66

35.0%FG%41.0%

2-173PT11-31

12.0%3PT%35.0%

7-10FT7-10

70.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds46

10Offensive Rebounds18

8Assists18

16Turnovers12

8Steals11

2Blocks6

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Dawson	Guard	15	7-11	0-0	4-5	2	0	0	0	18
Akili Evans	Guard	35	4-13	2-6	0-0	4	3	3	0	10
LJ Thomas	G	35	4-11	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Quan Lax	PG	31	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
JaVar Daniel	F	11	0-0	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	1	3
Anton Brookshire	PG	30	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Tekao Carpenter	G	23	1-8	0-6	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Tate McCubbin	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Daniel Loos	Forward	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Terrell Gaines	PG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Me'Kell Burries	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Allenspach	F	19	6-12	0-2	3-4	3	0	1	0	15
Trey Fort	G	17	5-9	5-8	0-0	2	2	0	2	15
Lukas Walls	G	27	3-6	2-4	0-0	8	2	1	0	8
Rylan Jones	Guard	25	3-8	2-6	0-0	4	5	1	0	8
Hamed Olayinka	F	8	3-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	1	7
Collin Holloway	Forward	27	2-5	0-1	2-2	7	3	3	2	6
Jaden Brownell	F	16	2-12	1-4	0-0	4	0	2	1	5
Isaiah West	G	20	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Zion Wilburn	G	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Julian Brown	Guard	13	0-3	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Josh Holloway	G	20	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	4	0	0	0
Paulie Stramaglia	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

72.5Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency72.5

-38.6Net Efficiency38.6

37.0%Effective FG%49.2%

40.0%True Shooting %50.9%

24.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

18.5%Free Throw Rate15.2%

31.5%3-Point Rate47.0%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Samford won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.