Rice

13-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Rice

72.9%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -269

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRice 70

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreTexas State 78

Team Comparison

RiceMetricTexas State

45.1MMH Power Index49.4

108.3Offensive Efficiency107.7

109.2Defensive Efficiency103.4

-0.9Net Efficiency4.3

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

68.3Tempo68.6

49.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

35.7%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.7%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-0.6Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–45.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.2), net efficiency (4.3–-0.9), recent form (9.1–-4.3).

Rice COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.3–107.7), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7), ball security (17.8–18.4).

Final

Rice

66—75

Texas State

Texas State by 9 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RiceTEAM STATTexas State

22-55FG25-54

40.0%FG%46.0%

5-183PT7-16

28.0%3PT%44.0%

17-25FT18-20

68.0%FT%90.0%

28Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists15

6Turnovers11

6Steals3

3Blocks2

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Rice

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caden Powell	C	29	5-6	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	1	14
Trae Broadnax	G	31	4-11	0-1	5-6	6	3	1	1	13
Kellen Amos	Guard	32	4-10	1-4	1-2	3	5	1	0	10
Alem Huseinovic	Guard	26	2-9	2-6	2-2	0	1	1	0	8
Denver Anglin	G	20	2-5	1-3	2-3	2	0	0	0	7
Andrew Akuchie	F	18	2-5	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	6
Trey Patterson	F	8	2-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	5
Jacob Dar	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Emory Lanier	Guard	13	0-2	0-1	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Aaron Powell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	36	8-16	1-2	3-3	10	3	1	0	20
Tylan Pope	Forward	24	3-6	0-2	7-7	4	0	1	2	13
Coleton Benson	G	15	4-8	3-7	2-2	0	0	0	0	13
Drue Drinnon	Guard	24	4-4	3-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	11
Kaden Gumbs	G	35	1-8	0-1	5-6	3	6	1	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	31	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	0	6
Austin Green	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Joshua O'Garro	G	22	1-5	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

108.7Offensive Efficiency123.6

123.6Defensive Efficiency108.7

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

44.5%Effective FG%52.8%

49.3%True Shooting %59.1%

10.0%Turnover Rate17.9%

45.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate29.6%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Texas State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.