Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%Jacksonville State

63.0%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -170

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 73

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricSouth Alabama

51.2MMH Power Index51.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

101.8Defensive Efficiency103.9

6.4Net Efficiency6.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

67.2Tempo67.4

51.0%Effective FG%53.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

44.5%Free Throw Rate39.8%

4.3Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Jacksonville State

74—76

South Alabama

South Alabama by 2 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

24-53FG25-63

45.0%FG%40.0%

12-273PT12-38

44.0%3PT%32.0%

14-15FT14-18

93.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists15

18Turnovers6

1Steals11

4Blocks2

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jao Ituka	G	25	6-9	5-8	5-5	4	3	1	0	22
Michael Houge	F	26	6-10	1-2	4-4	8	1	0	2	17
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	39	5-12	3-7	0-0	2	6	0	0	13
Mason Nicholson	F	30	3-4	0-0	2-2	9	0	0	0	8
Jamar Franklin	G	24	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Koree Cotton	G	18	1-7	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Quel'Ron House	G	17	0-3	0-1	1-2	1	4	0	0	1
Iaroslav Niagu	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Corey	G	31	4-15	1-7	3-3	4	6	2	1	12
JJ Wheat	G	19	3-3	0-0	6-8	1	2	2	0	12
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	33	4-12	2-8	1-1	7	1	0	1	11
Jayden Cooper	G	14	4-7	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	10
John Broom	G	35	3-6	2-4	0-0	4	0	2	0	8
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	16	3-8	2-7	0-0	2	0	3	0	8
Randy Brady	F	22	1-5	1-2	3-4	2	4	0	0	6
Judah Brown	Forward	12	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Cantia Rahming	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

113.1Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency113.1

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

56.6%Effective FG%49.2%

61.5%True Shooting %53.1%

27.2%Turnover Rate9.3%

28.3%Free Throw Rate28.6%

50.9%3-Point Rate60.3%

0.83Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.