North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%North Dakota State

45.2%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -121

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreButler 78

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricButler

59MMH Power Index52.7

115.4Offensive Efficiency111.7

100.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

14.6Net Efficiency2.6

-4.6Strength of Schedule3.1

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

69.6Tempo71.1

54.5%Effective FG%51.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

10.1Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.4–111.7), defensive efficiency (100.8–109.1), net efficiency (14.6–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.1–-4.6), offensive rebounding (34.4–32.0), free throw rate (42.9–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

71—68

Butler

North Dakota State by 3 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATButler

25-55FG23-62

45.0%FG%37.0%

13-303PT7-19

43.0%3PT%37.0%

8-10FT15-20

80.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists15

11Turnovers4

2Steals5

2Blocks—

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	36	10-14	7-9	0-0	7	0	0	0	27
Jacksen Moni	Forward	34	10-23	4-10	1-2	7	3	1	2	25
Brennan Watkins	G	38	1-7	1-5	4-4	2	6	1	0	7
Tajavis Miller	G	18	2-4	0-1	3-4	5	1	0	0	7
Masen Miller	Guard	34	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Noah Feddersen	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Darik Dissette	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Kasubke	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Andy Stefonowicz	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	36	8-15	4-6	6-7	7	1	0	26
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	37	8-20	2-3	5-8	6	4	0	23
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	31	3-13	1-6	0-0	3	0	2	7
Kolby King	G	27	2-3	0-1	0-1	4	3	2	4
Augusto Cassiá	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	4	0	4
Finley Bizjack	G	32	0-3	0-1	2-2	5	3	1	2
Landon Moore	G	9	0-2	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	2
Boden Kapke	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Andre Screen	Center	5	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

117.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency117.0

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

57.3%Effective FG%42.7%

59.4%True Shooting %47.6%

18.1%Turnover Rate6.6%

18.2%Free Throw Rate32.3%

54.5%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.27Assist / Turnover3.75

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.