Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Penn State

71.3%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRutgers -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINERutgers -248

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreRutgers 79

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricRutgers

42.3MMH Power Index45.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency104.2

117.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

-8.4Net Efficiency-8.0

5.3Strength of Schedule3.9

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

67.5Tempo67.4

53.4%Effective FG%47.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-5.7Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Rutgers HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRutgers holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–42.3), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.6), net efficiency (-8.0–-8.4), recent form (-1.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–104.2), strength of schedule (5.3–3.9), shooting efficiency (53.4–47.4).

Final

Penn State

76—80

Rutgers

Rutgers by 4 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATRutgers

30-68FG29-60

44.0%FG%48.0%

9-233PT8-22

39.0%3PT%36.0%

7-9FT14-25

78.0%FT%56.0%

32Rebounds46

6Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists17

6Turnovers14

9Steals2

3Blocks7

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	6-12	6-10	2-2	6	3	2	0	20
Freddie Dilione V	G	32	6-12	1-3	1-1	1	3	1	0	14
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	22	5-8	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	10
Puff Johnson	G	26	3-7	0-4	3-4	4	0	1	0	9
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	38	3-14	1-4	1-1	1	7	4	0	8
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	18	3-8	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Kachi Nzeh	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	1	4

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Harper	Guard	34	8-14	3-6	5-9	12	5	1	2	24
Ace Bailey	Guard	32	6-14	0-4	3-5	15	0	1	2	15
Jordan Derkack	G	24	2-4	0-1	5-8	2	3	0	0	9
Jeremiah Williams	G	29	3-9	1-2	1-3	3	4	0	0	8
Lathan Sommerville	C	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	4	0	0	6
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	15	2-6	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Tyson Acuff	Guard	10	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jamichael Davis	G	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	3	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency104.0

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

50.7%Effective FG%55.0%

52.6%True Shooting %55.7%

8.3%Turnover Rate19.0%

13.2%Free Throw Rate41.7%

33.8%3-Point Rate36.7%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.