Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%Fresno State

91.5%BYU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBYU -15.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBYU -1076

BYU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 69

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreBYU 85

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricBYU

47.1MMH Power Index63.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency118.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency106.8

0.0Net Efficiency11.5

1.5Strength of Schedule6.5

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

69.4Tempo70.6

51.3%Effective FG%54.7%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate35.4%

0.0Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–47.1), offensive efficiency (118.3–104.9), net efficiency (11.5–0.0), strength of schedule (6.5–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–106.8), free throw rate (35.5–35.4).

Final

Fresno State

67—95

BYU

BYU by 28 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATBYU

24-69FG38-69

35.0%FG%55.0%

12-373PT14-34

32.0%3PT%41.0%

7-10FT5-6

70.0%FT%83.0%

27Rebounds50

8Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists18

10Turnovers17

9Steals3

1Blocks3

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Weaver	Guard	31	6-13	3-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	15
Amar Augillard	G	17	5-11	2-7	0-0	2	0	3	0	12
Mykell Robinson	Forward	33	3-10	2-6	2-2	7	7	1	0	10
Zaon Collins	G	36	3-9	2-6	0-0	2	7	4	0	8
Elijah Price	F	29	3-14	1-4	0-2	7	1	0	1	7
Jasir Tremble	Guard	11	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Mor Seck	C	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Alex Crawford	F	16	0-2	0-1	4-4	2	1	0	0	4
Brian Amuneke	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Joshua Bonga	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevin Knell	Guard	24	8-11	4-6	2-3	10	2	3	0	22
Richie Saunders	G	33	7-14	3-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	17
Dawson Baker	G	20	5-10	2-5	2-2	4	1	0	0	14
Dallin Hall	G	31	5-8	3-5	0-0	2	5	0	0	13
Keba Keita	F	20	6-6	0-0	0-0	8	3	0	2	12
Kanon Catchings	F	29	4-11	1-7	1-1	4	3	0	0	10
Fousseyni Traore	Center	19	2-4	1-1	0-0	10	3	0	1	5
Elijah Crawford	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Mihailo Boškovic	F	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Max Triplett	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brody Kozlowski	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

87.7Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency87.7

-36.6Net Efficiency36.6

43.5%Effective FG%65.2%

45.4%True Shooting %66.1%

13.2%Turnover Rate22.1%

14.5%Free Throw Rate8.7%

53.6%3-Point Rate49.3%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

BYU won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.