Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Toledo

30.2%Youngstown State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -231

Youngstown State

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 79

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreYoungstown State 75

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricYoungstown State

58.8MMH Power Index46.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.4Net Efficiency4.5

2.3Strength of Schedule-5.6

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.5

69.8Tempo66.7

55.1%Effective FG%54.9%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.4%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

30.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

4.5Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–46.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.6), net efficiency (6.4–4.5), strength of schedule (2.3–-5.6).

Youngstown State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–109.6), offensive rebounding (31.6–30.4), free throw rate (32.3–30.3).

Final

Toledo

87—93

Youngstown State

Youngstown State by 6 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATYoungstown State

28-60FG29-59

47.0%FG%49.0%

4-123PT12-32

33.0%3PT%38.0%

27-37FT23-28

73.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists18

10Turnovers11

7Steals6

2Blocks11

24Fouls24

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	30	7-14	2-3	5-6	8	0	1	0	21
Sonny Wilson	G	34	6-12	0-0	5-11	6	4	0	0	17
Seth Hubbard	G	28	4-8	0-3	6-6	5	2	1	0	14
Isaiah Adams	Guard	25	4-9	0-2	4-4	1	0	0	1	12
Javan Simmons	F	32	3-7	0-0	4-5	2	2	1	0	10
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	23	1-5	1-3	3-4	5	0	2	0	6
Bryce Ford	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Grgur Brcic	C	7	1-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2

Youngstown State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
EJ Farmer	Guard	31	8-15	3-8	1-1	1	0	0	0	20
Nico Galette	Not Available	35	5-13	3-8	4-6	11	7	1	1	17
Juwan Maxey	G	29	4-9	3-7	5-5	4	3	0	0	16
Jason Nelson	G	29	3-7	2-5	5-6	5	1	2	0	13
Gabe Dynes	C	27	5-6	0-0	2-4	6	2	0	9	12
Cris Carroll	F	14	2-5	1-3	4-4	1	1	2	1	9
Ty Harper	G	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Siem Uijtendaal	Guard	17	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	2
Christian Kirkland	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

121.0Offensive Efficiency129.3

129.3Defensive Efficiency121.0

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

50.0%Effective FG%59.3%

56.1%True Shooting %64.3%

13.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

61.7%Free Throw Rate47.5%

20.0%3-Point Rate54.2%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Youngstown State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.