East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.7%East Tennessee State

26.3%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -280

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 77

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreJacksonville 71

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricJacksonville

57.4MMH Power Index43.6

115.1Offensive Efficiency109.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

12.3Net Efficiency-0.5

-1.6Strength of Schedule-4.8

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

67.4Tempo66.6

55.4%Effective FG%51.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

8.3Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–43.6), offensive efficiency (115.1–109.8), defensive efficiency (102.8–110.3), net efficiency (12.3–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–28.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

52—60

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 8 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATJacksonville

20-58FG23-56

34.0%FG%41.0%

8-243PT6-20

33.0%3PT%30.0%

4-14FT8-11

29.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists8

14Turnovers19

8Steals9

5Blocks8

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Buggs III	Guard	35	5-12	5-10	0-0	0	1	1	0	15
Quimari Peterson	G	34	5-14	1-3	2-3	4	5	1	0	13
Jaden Seymour	Forward	20	4-10	0-3	1-3	3	1	0	2	9
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	4
Curt Lewis	G	8	1-3	1-2	1-4	3	0	1	0	4
Maki Johnson	G	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Karon Boyd	F	31	1-8	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Allen Strothers	G	23	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	4	0	2
Davion Bradford	C	15	0-2	0-1	0-4	4	0	0	0	0
DJ Hughes	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	36	8-15	1-6	5-5	5	3	5	4	22
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	24	5-6	4-5	1-2	5	0	0	0	15
Kendall Munson	Forward	16	3-4	0-0	2-3	9	0	0	0	8
Jakari Spence	Guard	28	3-8	1-2	0-0	3	2	1	1	7
Donovan Rivers	F	22	2-4	0-0	0-1	4	1	1	1	4
Chris Arias	G	22	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Stephon Payne	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2	2
Zach Bell	G	26	0-11	0-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Kent Jackson	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Enrico Borio	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

75.9Offensive Efficiency87.6

87.6Defensive Efficiency75.9

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

41.4%Effective FG%46.4%

40.2%True Shooting %49.0%

20.4%Turnover Rate27.8%

24.1%Free Throw Rate19.6%

41.4%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.