Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Murray State

67.5%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL163.7

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -208

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Projected Total163.7

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 84

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricWestern Kentucky

53.6MMH Power Index55.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.2

4.0Net Efficiency4.4

3.5Strength of Schedule1.7

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

72.3Tempo71.7

54.0%Effective FG%48.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.9Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–53.6), defensive efficiency (106.2–111.0), net efficiency (4.4–4.0), recent form (5.2–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.6), strength of schedule (3.5–1.7), shooting efficiency (54.0–48.6).

Final

Murray State

76—81

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 5 • 83.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

25-66FG27-71

38.0%FG%38.0%

7-213PT6-25

33.0%3PT%24.0%

19-26FT21-25

73.0%FT%84.0%

40Rebounds52

8Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists7

14Turnovers14

10Steals8

4Blocks1

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	45	6-16	5-10	5-6	7	6	1	0	22
Nick Ellington	F	28	6-9	0-0	3-8	7	2	0	1	15
AJ Ferguson	Guard	41	4-10	0-1	5-5	7	1	2	1	13
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	17	5-9	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	10
Kylen Milton	Guard	39	2-12	1-7	4-5	4	4	3	0	9
Terence Harcum	Guard	29	2-6	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Alden Applewhite	F	20	0-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	33	9-23	4-10	7-8	5	1	2	0	29
Babacar Faye	F	26	7-12	0-2	3-4	9	1	2	0	17
Khristian Lander	Guard	37	4-10	0-2	4-4	2	1	0	0	12
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	38	4-9	2-5	0-0	11	1	2	0	10
Enoch Kalambay	G	25	0-1	0-1	6-6	6	2	0	0	6
Braxton Bayless	G	21	2-4	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	0	5
Jalen Jackson	Guard	25	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	1	2
Julius Thedford	G	13	0-8	0-4	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Edelen	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Leeroy Odiahi	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

83.2Possessions83.2

91.3Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency91.3

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

43.2%Effective FG%42.3%

48.5%True Shooting %48.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

39.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

31.8%3-Point Rate35.2%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 83.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.