Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Texas State

68.0%Florida Atlantic

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida Atlantic -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Atlantic -212

Florida Atlantic

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreFlorida Atlantic 78

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricFlorida Atlantic

49.4MMH Power Index51.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.4Defensive Efficiency104.4

4.3Net Efficiency6.1

-4.7Strength of Schedule-0.9

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.6

68.6Tempo71.2

51.3%Effective FG%52.5%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

36.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

2.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Atlantic HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Atlantic holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.7), net efficiency (6.1–4.3), strength of schedule (-0.9–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–104.4), recent form (9.1–-2.6), offensive rebounding (34.3–32.9).

Final

Texas State

80—89

Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic by 9 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATFlorida Atlantic

29-56FG31-59

52.0%FG%53.0%

9-203PT7-17

45.0%3PT%41.0%

13-15FT20-29

87.0%FT%69.0%

37Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists23

17Turnovers6

5Steals10

5Blocks4

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	32	8-11	2-3	1-2	6	5	1	0	19
Tylan Pope	Forward	27	6-10	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	3	14
Joshua O'Garro	G	30	5-9	3-5	0-0	9	0	0	2	13
Coleton Benson	G	21	3-9	3-7	2-2	1	0	0	0	11
Kaden Gumbs	G	29	2-6	0-0	6-6	6	3	2	0	10
Drue Drinnon	Guard	31	2-6	1-3	2-3	1	4	1	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Nate Deer	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2

Florida Atlantic

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Carroll	F	17	7-9	0-0	4-4	4	1	2	0	18
Niccolo Moretti	G	23	4-6	1-1	6-7	0	2	0	1	15
Matas Vokietaitis	C	18	5-8	0-0	3-8	9	0	0	0	13
Baba Miller	F	33	4-6	2-4	1-1	5	5	0	3	11
Kaleb Glenn	F	14	4-7	2-3	1-2	1	1	3	0	11
Leland Walker	G	34	3-8	0-2	3-4	2	4	2	0	9
Ken Evans Jr.	Guard	31	3-7	1-3	2-3	1	2	1	0	9
KyKy Tandy	Guard	21	1-7	1-4	0-0	2	7	1	0	3
Devin Vanterpool	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency127.3

127.3Defensive Efficiency114.4

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

59.8%Effective FG%58.5%

63.4%True Shooting %61.1%

24.6%Turnover Rate8.5%

26.8%Free Throw Rate49.2%

35.7%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.88Assist / Turnover3.83

Game Summary

Florida Atlantic won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.