Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%Western Carolina

46.6%UNC Asheville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Asheville -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -115

UNC Asheville

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 76

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 77

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricUNC Asheville

53MMH Power Index47.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency107.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.8

1.6Net Efficiency0.7

-0.9Strength of Schedule-0.5

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.5

69.7Tempo68.3

51.1%Effective FG%52.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

30.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

1.1Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–47.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.5), net efficiency (1.6–0.7), recent form (13.1–-5.5).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.8–111.0), strength of schedule (-0.5–-0.9), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.1).

Final

Western Carolina

61—78

UNC Asheville

UNC Asheville by 17 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATUNC Asheville

24-61FG26-50

39.0%FG%52.0%

7-293PT4-11

24.0%3PT%36.0%

6-13FT22-28

46.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists9

15Turnovers14

6Steals9

2Blocks3

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	21	4-6	2-2	1-3	2	0	1	0	11
Vernon Collins	F	19	5-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	10
Fischer Brown	G	18	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Bernard Pelote	Forward	22	2-6	0-0	2-4	8	2	2	0	6
Jamar Livingston	Guard	15	2-6	0-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Brandon Morgan	G	21	2-7	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	1	5
Chevalier Emery	G	20	2-9	0-5	1-2	1	2	0	0	5
Cord Stansberry	G	27	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
CJ Hyland	G	19	1-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cinque Lemon	Forward	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Chase McKey	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-2	5	1	1	0	0

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Banks	Guard	28	9-13	1-2	2-2	5	2	1	0	21
Jordan Marsh	G	29	5-12	2-3	6-8	5	4	5	0	18
Kameron Taylor	G	26	4-6	0-1	5-5	4	1	1	1	13
Toyaz Solomon	F	37	5-9	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	2	12
Greg Gantt Jr.	Forward	31	1-1	0-0	7-10	9	2	1	0	9
Fletcher Abee	Guard	25	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Connor Dubsky	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jemal Davis	Forward	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Clarke	PG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

85.0Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency85.0

-23.7Net Efficiency23.7

45.1%Effective FG%56.0%

45.4%True Shooting %61.6%

21.1%Turnover Rate19.4%

21.3%Free Throw Rate56.0%

47.5%3-Point Rate22.0%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

UNC Asheville won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.