UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%UNC Wilmington

56.3%Howard

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHoward -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEHoward -129

Howard

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 72

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreHoward 75

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricHoward

59.2MMH Power Index56.9

114.1Offensive Efficiency110.8

101.7Defensive Efficiency98.5

12.4Net Efficiency12.3

-1.5Strength of Schedule-7.1

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency21.5

66.9Tempo70.2

51.1%Effective FG%52.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.8%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

41.7%Free Throw Rate45.5%

8.3Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Howard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHoward holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (98.5–101.7), recent form (21.5–5.5), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1), offensive rebounding (37.0–35.8).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.9), offensive efficiency (114.1–110.8), net efficiency (12.4–12.3).

Final

UNC Wilmington

83—88

Howard

Howard by 5 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATHoward

29-63FG27-51

46.0%FG%53.0%

5-243PT13-20

21.0%3PT%65.0%

20-27FT21-26

74.0%FT%81.0%

33Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists20

9Turnovers13

1Steals4

1Blocks3

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khamari McGriff	F	29	14-16	1-1	5-8	5	0	1	1	34
Sean Moore	Forward	17	5-9	1-4	2-2	5	1	0	0	13
Harlan Obioha	C	17	3-5	0-0	6-8	3	0	0	0	12
Donovan Newby	Not Available	34	3-14	0-6	2-3	2	1	0	0	8
Nolan Hodge	G	23	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	3	0	0	7
Joshua Corbin	Guard	32	1-6	1-6	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Bo Montgomery	Guard	33	1-6	1-4	1-2	7	4	0	0	4
Greedy Williams	G	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Howard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Dockery	Guard	39	10-18	4-5	3-3	2	7	0	0	27
Joshua Strong	Guard	31	4-7	4-6	6-6	6	2	1	0	18
Blake Harper	G	30	5-11	3-4	5-8	7	4	1	0	18
Cameron Shockley-Okeke	Forward	22	4-5	2-2	2-3	2	1	0	0	12
Anwar Gill	Guard	36	2-8	0-3	3-4	3	4	1	0	7
Ayodele Taiwo	Forward	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	3	2
Mounir Hima	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jaren Johnson	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Miles Stewart	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

115.9Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency115.9

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

50.0%Effective FG%65.7%

54.7%True Shooting %69.5%

12.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

42.9%Free Throw Rate51.0%

38.1%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Howard won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.