Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Ball State

71.3%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -248

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 73

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreBellarmine 78

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricBellarmine

41.3MMH Power Index44.9

101.7Offensive Efficiency119.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency122.1

-3.0Net Efficiency-2.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.8

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.4Tempo66.9

48.3%Effective FG%60.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-2.0Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–41.3), offensive efficiency (119.6–101.7), net efficiency (-2.5–-3.0), strength of schedule (-2.8–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–122.1), offensive rebounding (26.5–22.7).

Final

Ball State

86—82

Bellarmine

Ball State by 4 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATBellarmine

26-48FG29-61

54.0%FG%48.0%

10-193PT11-29

53.0%3PT%38.0%

24-32FT13-15

75.0%FT%87.0%

27Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists21

9Turnovers10

8Steals6

—Blocks1

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Juanse Gorosito	G	36	7-14	7-12	0-0	3	4	3	21
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	31	3-6	0-1	12-12	4	2	3	18
Fatt Hill	G	33	6-9	1-3	1-3	2	4	0	14
Payton Sparks	Center	15	4-5	0-0	4-6	4	0	0	12
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	30	3-7	0-0	4-5	4	1	1	10
Joey Hart	G	17	1-2	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	5
Mason Jones	F	14	1-3	1-1	1-4	3	0	1	4
Ben Hendriks	Center	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
TJ Burch	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Billy Smith	G	38	11-15	6-8	5-5	5	2	1	0	33
Dylan Branson	Forward	32	6-15	2-6	4-4	6	3	2	1	18
Ben Johnson	G	37	3-11	1-6	0-1	0	3	1	0	7
Curt Hopf	Forward	21	3-8	0-5	1-1	5	2	1	0	7
Kenyon Goodin	G	13	2-2	2-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	7
Tyler Doyle	G	31	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Myles Watkins	G	17	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	4	1	0	4
Landin Hacker	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

134.0Offensive Efficiency127.7

127.7Defensive Efficiency134.0

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

64.6%Effective FG%56.6%

68.0%True Shooting %60.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

66.7%Free Throw Rate24.6%

39.6%3-Point Rate47.5%

1.44Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

Ball State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.